Selected outcome
October 10
No
October 10 · No
- Scheduled end
- Oct 31, 2026 ET
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
October 7Will the next Claude Haiku model (4.6+) be released on October 7, 2026?
Yes
Settled · yes · $0 24h · $4,063 vol
- October 8
Will the next Claude Haiku model (4.6+) be released on October 8, 2026?
No
Settled · no · $0 24h · $938 vol
- October 9
Will the next Claude Haiku model (4.6+) be released on October 9, 2026?
No
Settled · no · $0 24h · $1,434 vol
- October 10
Will the next Claude Haiku model (4.6+) be released on October 10, 2026?
No
Settled · no · $0 24h · $205 vol
- October 11
Will the next Claude Haiku model (4.6+) be released on October 11, 2026?
No
Settled · no · $0 24h · $229 vol
- October 12
Will the next Claude Haiku model (4.6+) be released on October 12, 2026?
No
Settled · no · $0 24h · $426 vol
- October 13
Will the next Claude Haiku model (4.6+) be released on October 13, 2026?
No
Settled · no · $0 24h · $540 vol
- October 14
Will the next Claude Haiku model (4.6+) be released on October 14, 2026?
No
Settled · no · $0 24h · $745 vol
- October 15
Will the next Claude Haiku model (4.6+) be released on October 15, 2026?
No
Settled · no · $0 24h · $1,343 vol
- October 16
Will the next Claude Haiku model (4.6+) be released on October 16, 2026?
No
Settled · no · $0 24h · $611 vol
- October 17
Will the next Claude Haiku model (4.6+) be released on October 17, 2026?
No
Settled · no · $0 24h · $441 vol
- October 18
Will the next Claude Haiku model (4.6+) be released on October 18, 2026?
No
Settled · no · $0 24h · $276 vol
- October 19
Will the next Claude Haiku model (4.6+) be released on October 19, 2026?
No
Settled · no · $0 24h · $1,203 vol
- October 20
Will the next Claude Haiku model (4.6+) be released on October 20, 2026?
No
Settled · no · $0 24h · $239 vol
- October 21
Will the next Claude Haiku model (4.6+) be released on October 21, 2026?
No
Settled · no · $0 24h · $2,718 vol
- October 22
Will the next Claude Haiku model (4.6+) be released on October 22, 2026?
No
Settled · no · $0 24h · $136 vol
- October 23
Will the next Claude Haiku model (4.6+) be released on October 23, 2026?
No
Settled · no · $0 24h · $1,106 vol
- October 24
Will the next Claude Haiku model (4.6+) be released on October 24, 2026?
No
Settled · no · $0 24h · $401 vol
- October 25
Will the next Claude Haiku model (4.6+) be released on October 25, 2026?
No
Settled · no · $0 24h · $163 vol
- October 26
Will the next Claude Haiku model (4.6+) be released on October 26, 2026?
No
Settled · no · $0 24h · $279 vol
- October 27
Will the next Claude Haiku model (4.6+) be released on October 27, 2026?
No
Settled · no · $0 24h · $1,977 vol
- October 28
Will the next Claude Haiku model (4.6+) be released on October 28, 2026?
No
Settled · no · $0 24h · $2,693 vol
- October 29
Will the next Claude Haiku model (4.6+) be released on October 29, 2026?
No
Settled · no · $0 24h · $153 vol
- October 30
Will the next Claude Haiku model (4.6+) be released on October 30, 2026?
No
Settled · no · $0 24h · $783 vol
- October 31
Will the next Claude Haiku model (4.6+) be released on October 31, 2026?
No
Settled · no · $0 24h · $128 vol
- No release by October 31
Will there be no next Claude Haiku model (4.6+) release by October 31, 2026?
No
Settled · no · $0 24h · $2,136 vol
Event statistics
How this resolves
One winner.
Settled
- Scheduled end
- Oct 31, 2026 ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Anthropic's next Claude Haiku model (4.6+) is made available to the general public. A qualifying model must have a name or model identifier that includes "Haiku" and be designated as version 4.6 or higher, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, a version 4.6 or higher named in the same manner as Claude Haiku 4.5 would qualify, including a new whole-number generation such as Claude Haiku 5, while models whose name does not include "Haiku" or which retain a version designation below 4.6, such as Claude Haiku 4.5, including any rollout, promotion, or snapshot of it, will not qualify. A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.