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Next French Presidential Election: who will advance to the 2nd round?

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Selected outcome

Sarah Knafo

5%

Sarah Knafo · 5%

Stored quote · checking the venue

Scheduled end
Apr 18, 2027 ET

Price

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Markets

  • Marine Le Pen

    Will Marine Le Pen advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?

    91%

    Open · $20 24h · $18k vol

    Bid 90¢ · Ask 91¢

    Open full market view →
  • Jordan Bardella

    Will Jordan Bardella advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?

    6%

    Open · $141 24h · $24k vol

    Bid 5¢ · Ask 6¢

    Open full market view →
  • Éric Zemmour

    Will Éric Zemmour advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?

    4%

    Open · $0 24h · $742 vol

    Bid 4.2¢ · Ask 4.7¢

    Open full market view →
  • Édouard Philippe

    Will Édouard Philippe advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?

    41%

    Open · $2,180 24h · $10k vol

    Bid 39¢ · Ask 42¢

    Open full market view →
  • David Lisnard

    Will David Lisnard advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?

    14%

    Open · $6,245 24h · $176k vol

    Bid 14.1¢ · Ask 14.3¢

    Open full market view →
  • Xavier Bertrand

    Will Xavier Bertrand advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?

    1%

    Open · $0 24h · $1,561 vol

    Bid 0.8¢ · Ask 2¢

    Open full market view →
  • Laurent Wauquiez

    Will Laurent Wauquiez advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?

    2%

    Open · $0 24h · $921 vol

    Bid 1.4¢ · Ask 3.1¢

    Open full market view →
  • François Ruffin

    Will François Ruffin advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?

    4%

    Open · $0 24h · $7,214 vol

    Bid 3.5¢ · Ask 4.7¢

    Open full market view →
  • Gabriel Attal

    Will Gabriel Attal advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?

    5%

    Open · $166 24h · $6,841 vol

    Bid 4.2¢ · Ask 5.4¢

    Open full market view →
  • Bruno Retailleau

    Will Bruno Retailleau advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?

    6%

    Open · $0 24h · $4,098 vol

    Bid 5.8¢ · Ask 6.2¢

    Open full market view →
  • François Hollande

    Will François Hollande advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?

    5%

    Open · $105 24h · $16k vol

    Bid 4.2¢ · Ask 5.4¢

    Open full market view →
  • Raphaël Glucksmann

    Will Raphaël Glucksmann advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?

    12%

    Open · $913 24h · $12k vol

    Bid 10.9¢ · Ask 13.7¢

    Open full market view →
  • Jean-Luc Mélenchon

    Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?

    40%

    Open · $0 24h · $24k vol

    Bid 38¢ · Ask 41¢

    Open full market view →
  • Marine Tondelier

    Will Marine Tondelier advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?

    2%

    Open · $0 24h · $4,925 vol

    Bid 1.4¢ · Ask 2.7¢

    Open full market view →
  • Fabien Roussel

    Will Fabien Roussel advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?

    3%

    Open · $0 24h · $8,265 vol

    Bid 2.7¢ · Ask 3.9¢

    Open full market view →
  • Olivier Faure

    Will Olivier Faure advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?

    1%

    Open · $0 24h · $6,002 vol

    Bid 0.3¢ · Ask 2¢

    Open full market view →
  • Dominique de Villepin

    Will Dominique de Villepin advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?

    6%

    Open · $0 24h · $2,091 vol

    Bid 5¢ · Ask 6¢

    Open full market view →
  • Ségolène Royal

    Will Ségolène Royal advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?

    3%

    Open · $0 24h · $4,947 vol

    Bid 2.7¢ · Ask 3.6¢

    Open full market view →
  • François Asselineau

    Will François Asselineau advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?

    4%

    Open · $0 24h · $1,871 vol

    Bid 3.8¢ · Ask 4.2¢

    Open full market view →
  • Clémentine Autain

    Will Clémentine Autain advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?

    2%

    Open · $0 24h · $5,821 vol

    Bid 1.4¢ · Ask 3¢

    Open full market view →
  • Nicolas Dupont-Aignan

    Will Nicolas Dupont-Aignan advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?

    4%

    Open · $0 24h · $1,938 vol

    Bid 3.7¢ · Ask 3.8¢

    Open full market view →
  • Michel Barnier

    Will Michel Barnier advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?

    1%

    Open · $0 24h · $3,259 vol

    Bid 0.7¢ · Ask 2¢

    Open full market view →
  • Valérie Pécresse

    Will Valérie Pécresse advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?

    1%

    Open · $0 24h · $3,179 vol

    Bid 0.2¢ · Ask 2.2¢

    Open full market view →
  • François Bayrou

    Will François Bayrou advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?

    3%

    Open · $0 24h · $4,235 vol

    Bid 3.2¢ · Ask 3.4¢

    Open full market view →
  • Élisabeth Borne

    Will Élisabeth Borne advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?

    4%

    Open · $0 24h · $4,628 vol

    Bid 3.7¢ · Ask 4¢

    Open full market view →
  • Yaël Braun-Pivet

    Will Yaël Braun-Pivet advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?

    4%

    Open · $0 24h · $3,718 vol

    Bid 3.7¢ · Ask 4.6¢

    Open full market view →
  • Jean Castex

    Will Jean Castex advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?

    1%

    Open · $0 24h · $3,111 vol

    Bid 0.2¢ · Ask 2.2¢

    Open full market view →
  • Gérald Darmanin

    Will Gérald Darmanin advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?

    4%

    Open · $0 24h · $2,360 vol

    Bid 3.7¢ · Ask 4.4¢

    Open full market view →
  • Carole Delga

    Will Carole Delga advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?

    2%

    Open · $0 24h · $11k vol

    Bid 2.2¢ · Ask 2.6¢

    Open full market view →
  • Bernard Cazeneuve

    Will Bernard Cazeneuve advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?

    4%

    Open · $0 24h · $5,743 vol

    Bid 3.2¢ · Ask 4.2¢

    Open full market view →
  • Manuel Bompard

    Will Manuel Bompard advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?

    4%

    Open · $154 24h · $7,286 vol

    Bid 3.8¢ · Ask 5.1¢

    Open full market view →
  • Mathilde Panot

    Will Mathilde Panot advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?

    2%

    Open · $0 24h · $1,901 vol

    Bid 0.8¢ · Ask 4¢

    Open full market view →
  • Sarah Knafo

    Will Sarah Knafo advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?

    5%

    Open · $0 24h · $5,266 vol

    Bid 4.2¢ · Ask 5.2¢

    Open full market view →
  • Juan Branco

    Will Juan Branco advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?

    5%

    Open · $0 24h · $4,478 vol

    Bid 4.2¢ · Ask 5.1¢

    Open full market view →
  • Clémence Guetté

    Will Clémence Guetté advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?

    3%

    Open · $0 24h · $3,346 vol

    Bid 0.9¢ · Ask 4.2¢

    Open full market view →
  • Sébastien Lecornu

    Will Sébastien Lecornu advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?

    4%

    Open · $0 24h · $2,500 vol

    Bid 4.2¢ · Ask 4.7¢

    Open full market view →
Event statistics
24h vol
$9,924
Volume
$403k
Liquidity
$1M
Open int.
—

How this resolves

Scheduled end
Apr 18, 2027 ET
  1. Trading
  2. Closed
  3. In review
  4. Resolved
Rules text

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier. The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff second round. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed candidate advances to the second round of the next French presidential election or wins the election outright in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If no such election occurs or the results of the first round of this election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).

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