Selected outcome
October 15
No
October 15 · No
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Oct 21, 7:59 PM ET
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
October 21Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on October 21, 2026?
<1%
Open · $60 24h · $781 vol
last
Ask 1¢
- October 22
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on October 22, 2026?
<1%
Open · $18 24h · $819 vol
Bid 0.1¢ · Ask 0.3¢
- October 23
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on October 23, 2026?
<1%
Open · $0 24h · $1,089 vol
last
Ask 1¢
- October 24
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on October 24, 2026?
<1%
Open · $0 24h · $378 vol
last
Ask 0.9¢
- October 25
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on October 25, 2026?
1%
Open · $0 24h · $985 vol
last
Ask 0.6¢
- October 26
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on October 26, 2026?
<1%
Open · $0 24h · $1,139 vol
last
Ask 0.9¢
- October 27
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on October 27, 2026?
1%
Open · $0 24h · $1,265 vol
Bid 0.4¢ · Ask 1.9¢
- October 28
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on October 28, 2026?
No quote
Open · $0 24h · $860 vol
Ask 0.9¢
- October 29
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on October 29, 2026?
No quote
Open · $0 24h · $692 vol
Ask 0.6¢
- October 30
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on October 30, 2026?
<1%
Open · $0 24h · $1,362 vol
last
Ask 1.9¢
- October 31
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on October 31, 2026?
No quote
Open · $0 24h · $1,071 vol
Ask 0.1¢
- No release by October 31
Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by October 31, 2026?
97%
Open · $264 24h · $90k vol
Bid 95.4¢ · Ask 98.4¢
Resolved
- October 7
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on October 7, 2026?
No
Settled · no · $0 24h · $1,336 vol
- October 8
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on October 8, 2026?
No
Settled · no · $0 24h · $3,131 vol
- October 9
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on October 9, 2026?
No
Settled · no · $0 24h · $2,063 vol
- October 10
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on October 10, 2026?
No
Settled · no · $0 24h · $1,765 vol
- October 11
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on October 11, 2026?
No
Settled · no · $0 24h · $3,331 vol
- October 12
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on October 12, 2026?
No
Settled · no · $0 24h · $693 vol
- October 13
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on October 13, 2026?
No
Settled · no · $0 24h · $1,471 vol
- October 14
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on October 14, 2026?
No
Settled · no · $0 24h · $910 vol
- October 15
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on October 15, 2026?
No
Settled · no · $0 24h · $798 vol
- October 16
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on October 16, 2026?
No
Settled · no · $0 24h · $500 vol
- October 17
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on October 17, 2026?
No
Settled · no · $0 24h · $1,074 vol
- October 18
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on October 18, 2026?
No
Settled · no · $0 24h · $834 vol
- October 19
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on October 19, 2026?
No
Settled · no · $0 24h · $637 vol
- October 20
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on October 20, 2026?
No
Settled · no · $0 24h · $1,009 vol
Event statistics
How this resolves
One winner.
- Scheduled end
- Oct 21, 7:59 PM ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public. Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify. Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify. A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.