← Polymarket

Next Google Gemini Pro Model released by...?

Open

Selected outcome

October 23

1%

October 23 · 1%

Stored quote · checking the venue

Scheduled end
Oct 23, 11:59 PM ET

Price

Loading price history.

Markets

  • October 31

    Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 31, 2026?

    2%

    Open · $180 24h · $179k vol

    Bid 1.8¢ · Ask 3¢

    Open full market view →
  • October 23

    Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 23, 2026?

    1%

    Open · $47 24h · $17k vol

    Bid 0.7¢ · Ask 1.8¢

    Open full market view →
  • November 30

    Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by November 30, 2026?

    11%

    Open · $2,206 24h · $10k vol

    Bid 10¢ · Ask 11¢

    Open full market view →
  • December 31

    Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by December 31, 2026?

    11%

    Open · $862 24h · $8,117 vol

    Bid 9¢ · Ask 12¢

    Open full market view →

Resolved

  • October 15

    Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 15, 2026?

    No

    Settled · no · $0 24h · $48k vol

    Open full market view →
  • October 9

    Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 9, 2026?

    No

    Settled · no · $0 24h · $22k vol

    Open full market view →
Event statistics
24h vol
$3,294
Volume
$1.7M
Liquidity
$8,903
Open int.
—

How this resolves

Scheduled end
Oct 23, 11:59 PM ET
  1. Trading
  2. Closed
  3. In review
  4. Resolved
Rules text

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify. Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.

View on Polymarket