Selected outcome
Person Q
Person Q
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Feb 28, 2027 ET
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
Israel KatzWill Israel Katz be the next Israeli Minister of Defense?
9%
Open · $0 24h · $7,324 vol
Bid 8.7¢ · Ask 9.7¢
Gadi EizenkotWill Gadi Eizenkot be the next Israeli Minister of Defense?
4%
Open · $0 24h · $728 vol
Bid 1.6¢ · Ask 6.2¢
Naftali BennettWill Naftali Bennett be the next Israeli Minister of Defense?
28%
Open · $3,477 24h · $5,611 vol
Bid 25.7¢ · Ask 29.6¢
Benny GantzWill Benny Gantz be the next Israeli Minister of Defense?
1%
Open · $0 24h · $3,029 vol
Bid 0.1¢ · Ask 1¢
Avigdor LiebermanWill Avigdor Lieberman be the next Israeli Minister of Defense?
13%
Open · $2,625 24h · $14k vol
Bid 11.3¢ · Ask 15.5¢
Yair GolanWill Yair Golan be the next Israeli Minister of Defense?
2%
Open · $0 24h · $776 vol
Bid 0.1¢ · Ask 3¢
Bezalel SmotrichWill Bezalel Smotrich be the next Israeli Minister of Defense?
7%
Open · $914 24h · $1,603 vol
Bid 4.8¢ · Ask 8.7¢
Itamar Ben GvirWill Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Israeli Minister of Defense?
4%
Open · $0 24h · $565 vol
Bid 0.7¢ · Ask 7.2¢
Ofer WinterWill Ofer Winter be the next Israeli Minister of Defense?
5%
Open · $60 24h · $8,538 vol
Bid 3.5¢ · Ask 6.8¢
Eli CohenWill Eli Cohen be the next Israeli Minister of Defense?
<1%
Open · $0 24h · $492 vol
Bid 0.2¢ · Ask 0.4¢
Matan KahanaWill Matan Kahana be the next Israeli Minister of Defense?
<1%
Open · $0 24h · $827 vol
Bid 0.1¢ · Ask 0.4¢
Elazar SternWill Elazar Stern be the next Israeli Minister of Defense?
4%
Open · $0 24h · $1,403 vol
Bid 0.9¢ · Ask 6.8¢
Moshe FeiglinWill Moshe Feiglin be the next Israeli Minister of Defense?
2%
Open · $0 24h · $606 vol
Bid 0.2¢ · Ask 4.5¢
Benjamin NetanyahuWill Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Israeli Minister of Defense?
2%
Open · $0 24h · $354 vol
Bid 0.6¢ · Ask 3.5¢
Yair LapidWill Yair Lapid be the next Israeli Minister of Defense?
4%
Open · $0 24h · $384 vol
Bid 1.1¢ · Ask 6¢
Yoram CohenWill Yoram Cohen be the next Israeli Minister of Defense?
4%
Open · $0 24h · $493 vol
Bid 1.1¢ · Ask 6¢
Amir OhanaWill Amir Ohana be the next Israeli Minister of Defense?
<1%
Open · $0 24h · $206 vol
last
Ask 1¢
Yoaz HendelWill Yoaz Hendel be the next Israeli Minister of Defense?
1%
Open · $102 24h · $102 vol
Bid 0.1¢ · Ask 1¢
Person MWill Person M be the next Israeli Minister of Defense?
No quote
Open · not taking orders · $0 24h · $0 vol
Person NWill Person N be the next Israeli Minister of Defense?
No quote
Open · not taking orders · $0 24h · $0 vol
Person OWill Person O be the next Israeli Minister of Defense?
No quote
Open · not taking orders · $0 24h · $0 vol
Person PWill Person P be the next Israeli Minister of Defense?
No quote
Open · not taking orders · $0 24h · $0 vol
Person QWill Person Q be the next Israeli Minister of Defense?
No quote
Open · not taking orders · $0 24h · $0 vol
Person RWill Person R be the next Israeli Minister of Defense?
No quote
Open · not taking orders · $0 24h · $0 vol
Person SWill Person S be the next Israeli Minister of Defense?
No quote
Open · not taking orders · $0 24h · $0 vol
Person TWill Person T be the next Israeli Minister of Defense?
No quote
Open · not taking orders · $0 24h · $0 vol
Person UWill Person U be the next Israeli Minister of Defense?
No quote
Open · not taking orders · $0 24h · $0 vol
Person VWill Person V be the next Israeli Minister of Defense?
No quote
Open · not taking orders · $0 24h · $0 vol
Person WWill Person W be the next Israeli Minister of Defense?
No quote
Open · not taking orders · $0 24h · $0 vol
Person XWill Person X be the next Israeli Minister of Defense?
No quote
Open · not taking orders · $0 24h · $0 vol
Person YWill Person Y be the next Israeli Minister of Defense?
No quote
Open · not taking orders · $0 24h · $0 vol
Person ZWill Person Z be the next Israeli Minister of Defense?
No quote
Open · not taking orders · $0 24h · $0 vol
No Next Minister by Feb 28Will no next Israeli Minister of Defense be appointed by February 28, 2027?
35%
Open · $1,850 24h · $41k vol
Bid 33.2¢ · Ask 36¢
OtherWill another individual be the next Israeli Minister of Defense?
No quote
Open · not taking orders · $0 24h · $0 vol
Event statistics
How this resolves
One winner.
- Scheduled end
- Feb 28, 2027 ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
This market will resolve to the individual who first assumes office as Israeli Minister of Defense in the first government formed following the 2026 Knesset elections. To count for resolution, the individual’s ministership must be approved by the Knesset in a vote of confidence in that government or a subsequent vote approving the individual’s appointment to that government. Any interim or caretaker Minister of Defense will not count toward the resolution of this market. Once a qualifying individual assumes office, subsequent replacements will not affect resolution. The individual must be appointed as “Minister of Defense” or be appointed to the ministerial position confirmed to be its successor position, retaining its primary responsibilities, by a consensus of credible reporting. Positions that assume only secondary responsibilities will not qualify as a successor. If the primary portfolio responsibilities previously assigned to Minister of Defense are attributable to multiple successor positions, this market will resolve to the individual appointed to one of the successor positions whose full name comes first in alphabetical order. If no such Minister of Defense assumes office by February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Next Minister by Feb 28”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.