Selected outcome
Netanyahu - Israel PM
32%
Netanyahu - Israel PM · 32%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Dec 31, 2026 ET
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
Macron - France PresidentWill Emmanuel Macron be the next leader out before 2027?
1%
Open · $403 24h · $45k vol
Bid 1¢ · Ask 1.1¢
- Erdoğan - Türkiye President
Will Recep Tayyip Erdoğan be the next leader out before 2027?
1%
Open · $2,860 24h · $42k vol
Bid 0.4¢ · Ask 0.6¢
- Kim - Supreme Leader of North Korea
Will Kim Jong Un be the next leader out before 2027?
3%
Open · $1,248 24h · $65k vol
Bid 2.7¢ · Ask 3.5¢
- Xi - General Secretary of the CCP
Will Xi Jinping be the next leader out before 2027?
1%
Open · $1,158 24h · $52k vol
Bid 0.5¢ · Ask 0.7¢
- Netanyahu - Israel PM
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out before 2027?
32%
Open · $34k 24h · $322k vol
Bid 31¢ · Ask 32¢
- Albanese - Australia PM
Will Anthony Albanese be the next leader out before 2027?
<1%
Open · $185 24h · $42k vol
Bid 0.2¢ · Ask 0.3¢
- Newsom - California Governor
Will Gavin Newsom be the next leader out before 2027?
<1%
Open · $1,010 24h · $42k vol
Bid 0.1¢ · Ask 0.2¢
- Milei - Argentina President
Will Javier Milei be the next leader out before 2027?
<1%
Open · $381 24h · $47k vol
Bid 0.2¢ · Ask 0.3¢
- Trump - USA President
Will Donald Trump be the next leader out before 2027?
2%
Open · $124 24h · $45k vol
Bid 1¢ · Ask 2.4¢
- Zelenskyy - Ukraine President
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy be the next leader out before 2027?
2%
Open · $667 24h · $45k vol
Bid 1.2¢ · Ask 2¢
- Putin - Russia President
Will Vladimir Putin be the next leader out before 2027?
1%
Open · $740 24h · $40k vol
Bid 0.5¢ · Ask 0.7¢
- Lula da Silva - Brazil President
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva be the next leader out before 2027?
1%
Open · $78 24h · $50k vol
Bid 0.7¢ · Ask 0.9¢
- Lecornu - France PM
Will Sébastien Lecornu be the next leader out before 2027?
4%
Open · $347 24h · $40k vol
Bid 3.3¢ · Ask 4.1¢
- Takaichi - Japan PM
Will Sanae Takaichi be the next leader out before 2027?
<1%
Open · $430 24h · $44k vol
Bid 0.3¢ · Ask 0.5¢
- Abbas - President of Palestine
Will Mahmoud Abbas be the next leader out before 2027?
2%
Open · $120 24h · $38k vol
Bid 1.7¢ · Ask 2¢
- Merz - German Chancellor
Will Friedrich Merz be the next leader out before 2027?
1%
Open · $3,545 24h · $50k vol
Bid 0.9¢ · Ask 1.8¢
- Sánchez - Spanish PM
Will Pedro Sánchez be the next leader out before 2027?
6%
Open · $41 24h · $57k vol
Bid 5.4¢ · Ask 6.6¢
- Sheinbaum - Mexico President
Will Claudia Sheinbaum be the next leader out before 2027?
<1%
Open · $20 24h · $37k vol
Bid 0.1¢ · Ask 0.3¢
- Díaz-Canel - Cuba President
Will Miguel Díaz-Canel be the next leader out before 2027?
1%
Open · $1,878 24h · $41k vol
Bid 0.6¢ · Ask 1¢
- Rodríguez - Venezuela Acting President
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the next leader out before 2027?
1%
Open · $219 24h · $37k vol
Bid 0.9¢ · Ask 1¢
- al-Sharaa - Syria President
Will Ahmed al-Sharaa be the next leader out before 2027?
<1%
Open · $2,960 24h · $38k vol
Bid 0.3¢ · Ask 0.4¢
- None before 2027
Will no listed leader be out before 2027?
47%
Open · $1,087 24h · $204k vol
Bid 46¢ · Ask 47¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
One winner.
- Scheduled end
- Dec 31, 2026 ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
This market will resolve according to the first listed individual who ceases to occupy their listed office. An announcement of a resignation/removal, or a scheduled departure from office due to the outcome of an election, will not alone qualify. Only permanent removal from office will qualify for resolution. Temporary removals, such as impeachment suspensions (e.g., Yoon Suk Yeol's recent impeachment), temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment, or any similar provisional transfers of power, will not count. Additionally, if an individual continues in a caretaker or interim role (e.g., Gabriel Attal remaining as caretaker Prime Minister of France), they will not be considered to have ceased occupying the office for the purposes of this market. If this criterion has not been met for any of the listed individuals by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None before 2027”. No additional individuals will be added to this market after its creation. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.