Selected outcome
October 31
wide spread 4–22%
22%
October 31 · 22%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Oct 31, 2026 ET
Price
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Markets
October 31Will the next UK parliament by-election be called by October 31?
22%
Open · $0 24h · $390 vol
wide spread 4–22%
Bid 4¢ · Ask 22¢
- December 31
Will the next UK parliament by-election be called by December 31?
No quote
Open · $0 24h · $325 vol
wide spread 36–53%
Bid 36¢ · Ask 53¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Oct 31, 2026 ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a writ calling for a parliamentary by-election in a UK parliamentary constituency is issued by the UK Clerk of the Crown in Chancery by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The issuance of a writ must be confirmed within the specified timeframe to qualify. Only a writ issued after market creation will count. The writ for the Holborn and St Pancras by-election, issued prior to market creation, will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom, including the UK Parliament and the relevant local government conducting the election; however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.