Selected outcome
$6.00-$6.50T
6%
$6.00-$6.50T · 6%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Dec 31, 2026 ET
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
<$4.00TWill Nvidia’s market capitalization be less than $4.00T at the end of 2026?
8%
Open · $159 24h · $5,084 vol
wide spread 3–26%
Bid 3.1¢ · Ask 26.1¢
$4.00-$4.50TWill Nvidia’s market capitalization be between $4.00T and $4.50T at the end of 2026?
3%
Open · $104 24h · $1,961 vol
Bid 0.3¢ · Ask 5.9¢
$4.50-$5.00TWill Nvidia’s market capitalization be between $4.50T and $5.00T at the end of 2026?
16%
Open · $2,091 24h · $7,418 vol
Bid 14¢ · Ask 18¢
$5.00-$5.50TWill Nvidia’s market capitalization be between $5.00T and $5.50T at the end of 2026?
No quote
Open · $134 24h · $4,556 vol
wide spread 29–42%
Bid 29¢ · Ask 42¢
$5.50-$6.00TWill Nvidia’s market capitalization be between $5.50T and $6.00T at the end of 2026?
25%
Open · $316 24h · $6,544 vol
Bid 23¢ · Ask 26¢
$6.00-$6.50TWill Nvidia’s market capitalization be between $6.00T and $6.50T at the end of 2026?
6%
Open · $238 24h · $4,397 vol
Bid 2¢ · Ask 9¢
$6.50T+Will Nvidia’s market capitalization be at least $6.50T at the end of 2026?
9%
Open · $165 24h · $4,345 vol
Bid 6¢ · Ask 12¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
One winner.
- Scheduled end
- Dec 31, 2026 ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
This market will resolve according to Nvidia's public market capitalization at the close of regular trading on the final trading day of 2026. If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of 2026, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies. If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution. The resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.