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NZ Election: National Party # of seats?

Openone winner

Selected outcome

40-44

wide spread 23–38%

30%

40-44 · 30%

Stored quote · checking the venue

Scheduled end
Nov 7, 2026 ET

Price

Loading price history.

Markets

  • <25

    Will the National Party win fewer than 25 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?

    4%

    Open · $0 24h · $1,286 vol

    Bid 2.1¢ · Ask 6.4¢

    Open full market view →
  • 25-29

    Will the National Party win 25-29 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?

    No quote

    Open · $0 24h · $1,366 vol

    wide spread 2–14%

    Bid 1.6¢ · Ask 14.4¢

    Open full market view →
  • 30-34

    Will the National Party win 30-34 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?

    27%

    Open · $0 24h · $7,157 vol

    wide spread 26–37%

    Bid 26¢ · Ask 37¢

    Open full market view →
  • 35-39

    Will the National Party win 35-39 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?

    34%

    Open · $0 24h · $5,608 vol

    Bid 32¢ · Ask 36¢

    Open full market view →
  • 40-44

    Will the National Party win 40-44 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?

    30%

    Open · $0 24h · $6,584 vol

    wide spread 23–38%

    Bid 23¢ · Ask 38¢

    Open full market view →
  • 45-49

    Will the National Party win 45-49 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?

    1%

    Open · $0 24h · $981 vol

    Bid 0.3¢ · Ask 2.3¢

    Open full market view →
  • 50+

    Will the National Party win 50 or more seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?

    No quote

    Open · $0 24h · $1,025 vol

    wide spread 2–13%

    Bid 1.6¢ · Ask 12.9¢

    Open full market view →
Event statistics
24h vol
$0
Volume
$24k
Liquidity
$59k
Open int.
—

How this resolves

One winner.

Scheduled end
Nov 7, 2026 ET
  1. Trading
  2. Closed
  3. In review
  4. Resolved
Rules text

A general election is scheduled to be held in New Zealand on November 7, 2026. This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the National Party in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election. If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the National Party in this election. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published by the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/).

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