Selected outcome
3-6 points behind
20%
3-6 points behind · 20%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2026 ET
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
9+ points behindWill Peggy Flanagan run 9 or more points behind Amy Klobuchar?
14%
Open · $423 24h · $995 vol
Bid 14¢ · Ask 15¢
6-9 points behindWill Peggy Flanagan run 6 to 9 points behind Amy Klobuchar?
30%
Open · $606 24h · $1,067 vol
Bid 25¢ · Ask 34¢
3-6 points behindWill Peggy Flanagan run 3 to 6 points behind Amy Klobuchar?
20%
Open · $144 24h · $678 vol
Bid 15¢ · Ask 24¢
0-3 points behindWill Peggy Flanagan run 0 to 3 points behind Amy Klobuchar?
30%
Open · $414 24h · $678 vol
Bid 27¢ · Ask 33¢
Runs aheadWill Peggy Flanagan run ahead of Amy Klobuchar?
12%
Open · $315 24h · $1,079 vol
Bid 11¢ · Ask 13¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
One winner.
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2026 ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
The 2026 Minnesota general election is scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026. Peggy Flanagan is the Democratic nominee for United States Senate in Minnesota, and Amy Klobuchar is the Democratic nominee for Governor of Minnesota. This market will resolve based on how many percentage points Peggy Flanagan’s vote share in the 2026 Minnesota U.S. Senate election falls below Amy Klobuchar’s vote share in the 2026 Minnesota gubernatorial election. If Flanagan’s vote share exceeds Klobuchar’s, this market will resolve to “Runs ahead”. Each candidate’s vote share will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes for that candidate by the sum of all valid votes cast in that candidate’s respective race, including write-in votes, calculated from the certified vote totals without rounding. For a race that includes a runoff, ranked-choice, or other multi-round process, the relevant vote share will be that of the last-reported round containing the named candidate and at least one other candidate. If the reported difference falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the two vote shares are equal, this market will resolve to “0-3 points behind.” If either candidate withdraws or is otherwise removed from the general election ballot such that they receive no recorded votes, or if a candidate’s vote share cannot be determined by March 31, 2027, that candidate will be considered to have received 0% of the vote. The resolution source for this market will be the certified results published by the Minnesota Secretary of State; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.