Selected outcome
Increase
last
1%
Increase · 1%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Dec 31, 2026 ET
Price
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Markets
IncreaseWill the People’s Bank of China increase rates by December 31?
1%
Open · $847 24h · $1,969 vol
last
Ask 1.1¢
No ChangeWill the People’s Bank of China not change rates by December 31?
96%
Open · $868 24h · $5,284 vol
Bid 94¢ · Ask 98¢
DecreaseWill the People’s Bank of China decrease rates by December 31?
4%
Open · $1,984 24h · $5,607 vol
Bid 1.2¢ · Ask 5.8¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
One winner.
- Scheduled end
- Dec 31, 2026 ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
This market will resolve according to the first change made to the People’s Bank of China (PBoC) 7-day reverse repo rate between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM China Standard Time (CST). An “increase” refers to any change in the 7-day reverse repo rate to a level higher than the most recent effective 7-day reverse repo rate. A “decrease” refers to any change in the 7-day reverse repo rate to a level lower than the most recent effective 7-day reverse repo rate. If the People’s Bank of China does not change the 7-day reverse repo rate by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM China Standard Time, this market will resolve to the “No Change” bracket. An official announcement of a change to the PBoC 7-day Reverse Repo Rate within this market’s timeframe will be sufficient to resolve this market, regardless of when the rate change is stated to go into effect. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the People’s Bank of China, including PBoC Open Market Operations announcements (https://www.pbc.gov.cn/en/3688110/3688181/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting on a change to the 7-day reverse repo rate may also be used.