Selected outcome
<20mm
<20mm
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Jan 7, 2027 ET
Price
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Markets
<20mmWill Hong Kong have less than 20mm of precipitation in October?
No quote
Open · $0 24h · $2,895 vol
Ask 0.4¢
20-40mmWill Hong Kong have between 20-40mm of precipitation in October?
<1%
Open · $0 24h · $2,028 vol
last
Ask 0.2¢
40-50mmWill Hong Kong have between 40-50mm of precipitation in October?
<1%
Open · $6 24h · $3,172 vol
last
Ask 1¢
50-70mmWill Hong Kong have between 50-70mm of precipitation in October?
<1%
Open · $6 24h · $4,115 vol
last
Ask 0.4¢
70-120mmWill Hong Kong have between 70-120mm of precipitation in October?
95%
Open · $56 24h · $28k vol
Bid 92.3¢ · Ask 98.5¢
120-210mmWill Hong Kong have between 120-210mm of precipitation in October?
2%
Open · $38 24h · $14k vol
Bid 0.5¢ · Ask 4.2¢
210mm+Will Hong Kong have 210mm or more of precipitation in October?
1%
Open · $26 24h · $3,995 vol
Bid 1¢ · Ask 1.8¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
One winner.
- Scheduled end
- Jan 7, 2027 ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in mm in Hong Kong between October 1 and October 31, 2026, according to the Hong Kong Observatory. If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. The resolution source for this market will be the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Total Rainfall (mm)" figure for all days in October 2026 under the "Daily Extract" at the https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm link once figures are finalized for the specified range. If the relevant data is not available by January 7, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen. The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.