Selected outcome
1.75-2.5"
wide spread 14–25%
22%
1.75-2.5" · 22%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Jan 7, 2027 ET
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
<1.75"Will Seattle have less than 1.75 inches of precipitation in October?
66%
Open · $80 24h · $11k vol
wide spread 54–81%
Bid 54¢ · Ask 81¢
- 1.75-2.5"
Will Seattle have between 1.75 and 2.5 inches of precipitation in October?
22%
Open · $212 24h · $6,966 vol
wide spread 14–25%
Bid 14¢ · Ask 25¢
- 2.5-3"
Will Seattle have between 2.5 and 3 inches of precipitation in October?
5%
Open · $10 24h · $4,222 vol
Bid 4¢ · Ask 6¢
- 3-3.75"
Will Seattle have between 3 and 3.75 inches of precipitation in October?
2%
Open · $0 24h · $6,054 vol
Bid 0.3¢ · Ask 4.5¢
- 3.75-4.75"
Will Seattle have between 3.75 and 4.75 inches of precipitation in October?
1%
Open · $40 24h · $1,957 vol
Bid 0.1¢ · Ask 2¢
- 4.75-6"
Will Seattle have between 4.75 and 6 inches of precipitation in October?
<1%
Open · $5 24h · $1,180 vol
last
Ask 1.1¢
- >6"
Will Seattle have more than 6 inches of precipitation in October?
<1%
Open · $0 24h · $2,398 vol
last
Ask 0.3¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
One winner.
- Scheduled end
- Jan 7, 2027 ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in inches in Seattle between October 1 and October 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET according to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA). If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. The resolution source for this market will be NOAA, specifically the figure for October 2026 when the "Monthly summarized data" for "Seattle City Area" is selected with the variable set to "Precipitation" at the https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=sew link once that figure is finalized for the whole month of October 2026. If the relevant data is not available by January 7, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen. The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 2 decimal places (e.g., 1.54), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.