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Probable FDV above ___ one day after launch?

Open

Selected outcome

$1B

3%

$1B · 3%

Stored quote · checking the venue

Scheduled end
Jan 1, 2028 ET

Price

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Markets

  • $50M

    Probable FDV above $50M one day after launch?

    10%

    Open · $20 24h · $98k vol

    Bid 8¢ · Ask 12¢

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  • $100M

    Probable FDV above $100M one day after launch?

    13%

    Open · $0 24h · $43k vol

    Bid 9.9¢ · Ask 16.7¢

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  • $200M

    Probable FDV above $200M one day after launch?

    10%

    Open · $0 24h · $11k vol

    Bid 6.6¢ · Ask 14.2¢

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  • $300M

    Probable FDV above $300M one day after launch?

    13%

    Open · $0 24h · $10k vol

    Bid 8.6¢ · Ask 16.6¢

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  • $400M

    Probable FDV above $400M one day after launch?

    12%

    Open · $0 24h · $1,369 vol

    Bid 9.6¢ · Ask 13.8¢

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  • $500M

    Probable FDV above $500M one day after launch?

    7%

    Open · $0 24h · $2,045 vol

    Bid 6.4¢ · Ask 7.8¢

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  • $800M

    Probable FDV above $800M one day after launch?

    4%

    Open · $0 24h · $3,830 vol

    wide spread 4–15%

    Bid 3.5¢ · Ask 14.8¢

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  • $1B

    Probable FDV above $1B one day after launch?

    3%

    Open · $0 24h · $1,105 vol

    Bid 1.4¢ · Ask 4.4¢

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Event statistics
24h vol
$20
Volume
$170k
Liquidity
$49k
Open int.
—

How this resolves

Scheduled end
Jan 1, 2028 ET
  1. Trading
  2. Closed
  3. In review
  4. Resolved
Rules text

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Probable's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Probable (https://x.com/0xProbable) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

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