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Quebec General Election: # of Seats Margin of Victory?

Openone winner

Selected outcome

PQ 20-29

wide spread 22–64%

PQ 20-29

Stored quote · checking the venue

Scheduled end
Oct 5, 2026 ET

Price

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Markets

  • PQ 10-19

    Will the Parti Québécois win by between 10 and 19 seats?

    No quote

    Open · $60 24h · $1,427 vol

    wide spread 35–78%

    Bid 35.2¢ · Ask 77.7¢

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  • PQ 20-29

    Will the Parti Québécois win by between 20 and 29 seats?

    No quote

    Open · $109 24h · $2,397 vol

    wide spread 22–64%

    Bid 22¢ · Ask 64¢

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  • Other

    Will another result occur in the 2026 Quebec general election?

    No quote

    Open · not taking orders · $0 24h · $0 vol

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Event statistics
24h vol
$169
Volume
$7,640
Liquidity
$152
Open int.
—

How this resolves

One winner.

Scheduled end
Oct 5, 2026 ET
  1. Trading
  2. Closed
  3. In review
  4. Resolved
Rules text

This market will resolve according to the difference in the number of seats controlled by the first and second place parties in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of the next Quebec general election. The first and second place parties will be the parties that respectively control the first and second most seats as a result of the specified election. If any non-listed party wins the most seats as a result of this election, this market will resolve to “Another Party Wins” If the first and second place parties control the same number of seats, or if the results of the election aren’t known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the relevant parties, not any coalition or alliance of which they may be a part. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Quebec government, specifically Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).

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