Selected outcome
$500M
wide spread 24–43%
28%
$500M · 28%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Jan 1, 2028 ET
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
- $300M
Relay FDV above $300M one day after launch?
39%
Open · $0 24h · $5,202 vol
wide spread 19–40%
Bid 19¢ · Ask 40¢
- $500M
Relay FDV above $500M one day after launch?
28%
Open · $0 24h · $11k vol
wide spread 24–43%
Bid 24¢ · Ask 43¢
- $600M
Relay FDV above $600M one day after launch?
21%
Open · $0 24h · $1,745 vol
wide spread 12–28%
Bid 12¢ · Ask 28¢
- $700M
Relay FDV above $700M one day after launch?
22%
Open · $0 24h · $4,817 vol
wide spread 22–33%
Bid 22¢ · Ask 33¢
- $800M
Relay FDV above $800M one day after launch?
No quote
Open · $0 24h · $1,943 vol
wide spread 18–50%
Bid 18¢ · Ask 50¢
- $900M
Relay FDV above $900M one day after launch?
No quote
Open · $0 24h · $3,788 vol
wide spread 17–49%
Bid 16.5¢ · Ask 48.7¢
- $1B
Relay FDV above $1B one day after launch?
12%
Open · $0 24h · $2,850 vol
wide spread 9–47%
Bid 9.4¢ · Ask 46.7¢
- $1.5B
Relay FDV above $1.5B one day after launch?
5%
Open · $0 24h · $1,327 vol
wide spread 4–16%
Bid 4.1¢ · Ask 16¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Jan 1, 2028 ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Relay's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Relay (https://x.com/Relayprotocol) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".