Selected outcome
230+
1%
230+ · 1%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2026 ET
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
Below 190Will the Republican Party hold below 190 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
31%
Open · $611 24h · $58k vol
Bid 30¢ · Ask 32¢
- 190-194
Will the Republican Party hold between 190 and 194 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
12%
Open · $765 24h · $19k vol
Bid 10¢ · Ask 13¢
- 195-199
Will the Republican Party hold between 195 and 199 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
12%
Open · $467 24h · $37k vol
Bid 10¢ · Ask 14¢
- 200-204
Will the Republican Party hold between 200 and 204 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
14%
Open · $187 24h · $29k vol
Bid 12.8¢ · Ask 14.5¢
- 205-209
Will the Republican Party hold between 205 and 209 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
16%
Open · $807 24h · $47k vol
Bid 14.1¢ · Ask 17.2¢
- 210-214
Will the Republican Party hold between 210 and 214 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
7%
Open · $194 24h · $19k vol
Bid 5.1¢ · Ask 9.4¢
- 215-219
Will the Republican Party hold between 215 and 219 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
7%
Open · $0 24h · $13k vol
Bid 5.6¢ · Ask 8.1¢
- 220-224
Will the Republican Party hold between 220 and 224 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
3%
Open · $40 24h · $61k vol
Bid 2.8¢ · Ask 3.8¢
- 225-229
Will the Republican Party hold between 225 and 229 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
3%
Open · $0 24h · $27k vol
Bid 0.7¢ · Ask 4.3¢
- 230+
Will the Republican Party hold 230 or more House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
1%
Open · $0 24h · $33k vol
Bid 0.3¢ · Ask 1¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
One winner.
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2026 ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
This market will resolve according to the Republican Party’s seat count in the U.S. House of Representatives as a result of the 2026 United States midterm election scheduled for November 3, 2026. The seat count includes all House elections in the 2026 United States midterm election that elect voting members and determine representation in the upcoming 120th Congress. Where a seat is decided by a runoff, the runoff result will determine attribution of that seat. Seats are attributed to the party under which the member was elected. If a member-elect changes party affiliation, or vacates their seat, between election day and the formal organization of Congress, the seat is attributed to the party under which the member was elected. House members elected as independents who formally caucus with, or, for newly elected members, who announce their intent to caucus with, the Republican party are included in the count. If the caucus decisions of members of the House elected as independents cannot be determined on the date of the election, this market may remain open until the earlier of (i) an announcement from the relevant members of their intents to caucus, or (ii) January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year. If no such announcement is made by January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year, the member will not count towards the seat count of any party. The resolution sources for this market will be official information from relevant state electoral authorities, the United States Congress, and a consensus of credible reporting.