Selected outcome
25 bps increase
47%
25 bps increase · 47%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2026 ET
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
50+ bps decreaseReserve Bank of Australia decreases interest rates by 50+ bps at the November 2026 meeting?
<1%
Open · $1,106 24h · $9,400 vol
last
Ask 0.2¢
25 bps decreaseReserve Bank of Australia decreases interest rates by 25 bps at the November 2026 meeting?
<1%
Open · $1,341 24h · $19k vol
last
Ask 0.2¢
No changeNo change in Reserve Bank of Australia's interest rates at the November 2026 meeting?
52%
Open · $6,260 24h · $65k vol
Bid 51¢ · Ask 52¢
25 bps increaseReserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 25 bps at the November 2026 meeting?
47%
Open · $7,856 24h · $57k vol
Bid 46.6¢ · Ask 48.2¢
50+ bps increaseReserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 50+ bps at the November 2026 meeting?
1%
Open · $2,193 24h · $19k vol
Bid 0.7¢ · Ask 1¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
One winner.
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2026 ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the cash rate target resulting from the November 2026 meeting of the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) Monetary Policy Board, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting. The resolution source will be official information from the Reserve Bank of Australia, including the statement or release from its November 2026 meeting, scheduled for November 2-3, 2026, as listed on the official RBA calendar (https://www.rba.gov.au/schedules-events/calendar/?topics=monetary-policy-board). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Reserve Bank of Australia Monetary Policy Board resulting from its November 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound. If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of "Increase" or "Decrease" will include policy rate increases or decreases of any size. If the specified meeting is postponed to a date and time before the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve based on the outcome of that postponed meeting. If the specified meeting is cancelled, or postponed such that no decision is announced by the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No Change" bracket. Emergency changes to the specified rate not resulting from the specified meeting will not be considered.