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Reserve Bank of New Zealand decision in October?

Openone winner

Selected outcome

25 bps increase

73%

25 bps increase · 73%

Stored quote · checking the venue

Scheduled end
Oct 27, 8:00 PM ET

Price

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Markets

  • 50+ bps decrease

    Reserve Bank of New Zealand decreases interest rates by 50+ bps at the October 2026 meeting?

    No quote

    Open · $30 24h · $8,140 vol

    Ask 0.1¢

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  • 25 bps decrease

    Reserve Bank of New Zealand decreases interest rates by 25 bps at the October 2026 meeting?

    No quote

    Open · $180 24h · $8,891 vol

    Ask 1¢

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  • No change

    No change in Reserve Bank of New Zealand's interest rates at the October 2026 meeting?

    26%

    Open · $753 24h · $34k vol

    Bid 24¢ · Ask 27¢

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  • 25 bps increase

    Reserve Bank of New Zealand increases interest rates by 25 bps at the October 2026 meeting?

    73%

    Open · $538 24h · $38k vol

    Bid 72¢ · Ask 74¢

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  • 50+ bps increase

    Reserve Bank of New Zealand increases interest rates by 50+ bps at the October 2026 meeting?

    1%

    Open · $261 24h · $10k vol

    Bid 0.2¢ · Ask 1.4¢

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Event statistics
24h vol
$1,762
Volume
$100k
Liquidity
$11k
Open int.
—

How this resolves

One winner.

Scheduled end
Oct 27, 8:00 PM ET
  1. Trading
  2. Closed
  3. In review
  4. Resolved
Rules text

This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the official cash rate (OCR) resulting from the October 2026 meeting of the Reserve Bank of New Zealand, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting. The resolution source will be official information from the Reserve Bank of New Zealand, including the statement or release from its October 2026 meeting, scheduled for October 28, 2026, as listed on the official RBNZ calendar (https://www.rbnz.govt.nz/news-and-events/events). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Reserve Bank of New Zealand resulting from its October 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound. If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of "Increase" or "Decrease" will include policy rate increases or decreases of any size. If the specified meeting is postponed to a date and time before the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve based on the outcome of that postponed meeting. If the specified meeting is cancelled, or postponed such that no decision is announced by the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No Change" bracket. Emergency changes to the specified rate not resulting from the specified meeting will not be considered.

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