Selected outcome
December 31
84%
December 31 · 84%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Oct 31, 2026 ET
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
December 31Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?
84%
Open · $6,674 24h · $54k vol
Bid 83¢ · Ask 85¢
October 31Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?
15%
Open · $46k 24h · $186k vol
Bid 14¢ · Ask 16¢
November 30Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by November 30, 2026?
72%
Open · $10k 24h · $49k vol
Bid 71¢ · Ask 73¢
Resolved
October 15Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 15, 2026?
No
Settled · no · $0 24h · $89k vol
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Oct 31, 2026 ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of Russia and Ukraine by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Russia-Ukraine relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify. Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count. The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count. The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of Russia and Ukraine, and a consensus of credible reporting.