Selected outcome
October 31
6%
October 31 · 6%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Oct 31, 2026 ET
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
December 31Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026?
71%
Open · $16k 24h · $390k vol
Bid 70¢ · Ask 72¢
October 31Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026?
6%
Open · $17k 24h · $369k vol
Bid 5.1¢ · Ask 5.9¢
November 30Russia-Ukraine peace talks by November 30, 2026?
64%
Open · $21k 24h · $325k vol
Bid 63¢ · Ask 64¢
Resolved
October 15Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 15, 2026?
No
Settled · no · $0 24h · $167k vol
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Oct 31, 2026 ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of Russia and Ukraine aimed at discussing a ceasefire, peace agreement, or other substantive de-escalation of the ongoing conflict by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Russia-Ukraine relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify. Meetings or talks limited to humanitarian issues will not qualify unless they also include substantive negotiation regarding broader Russia-Ukraine peace terms, such as a ceasefire, peace agreement, territorial issues, security guarantees, or similar. Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count. The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count. The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of Russia and Ukraine, and a consensus of credible reporting.