Second-best AI Lab end of December?

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Selected outcome

Company K

Stored quote · checking the venue

Scheduled end: Dec 31, 2026 ET

Price

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Markets

Anthropic
Will Anthropic be the second-best AI lab at the end of December 2026?
33%
Open · $54 24h · $6,751 vol
Bid 30¢ · Ask 35¢
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Meta
Will Meta be the second-best AI lab at the end of December 2026?
17%
Open · $0 24h · $1,510 vol
Bid 16¢ · Ask 17¢
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Google
Will Google be the second-best AI lab at the end of December 2026?
35%
Open · $9 24h · $2,569 vol
Bid 34¢ · Ask 36¢
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Alibaba
Will Alibaba be the second-best AI lab at the end of December 2026?
3%
Open · $0 24h · $267 vol
Bid 1.2¢ · Ask 5.2¢
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Moonshot
Will Moonshot be the second-best AI lab at the end of December 2026?
5%
Open · $0 24h · $225 vol
Bid 0.5¢ · Ask 9.5¢
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OpenAI
Will OpenAI be the second-best AI lab at the end of December 2026?
4%
Open · $0 24h · $217 vol
Bid 1¢ · Ask 7.6¢
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Baidu
Will Baidu be the second-best AI lab at the end of December 2026?
3%
Open · $0 24h · $275 vol
wide spread 2–15%
Bid 2¢ · Ask 14.8¢
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Z.ai
Will Z.ai be the second-best AI lab at the end of December 2026?
4%
Open · $0 24h · $271 vol
Bid 0.5¢ · Ask 6.7¢
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Xiaomi
Will Xiaomi be the second-best AI lab at the end of December 2026?
1%
Open · $0 24h · $290 vol
Bid 0.4¢ · Ask 1.3¢
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SpaceXAI
Will SpaceXAI be the second-best AI lab at the end of December 2026?
6%
Open · $0 24h · $352 vol
wide spread 1–12%
Bid 1.2¢ · Ask 11.9¢
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DeepSeek
Will DeepSeek be the second-best AI lab at the end of December 2026?
1%
Open · $0 24h · $217 vol
Bid 0.1¢ · Ask 0.9¢
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Amazon
Will Amazon be the second-best AI lab at the end of December 2026?
<1%
Open · $0 24h · $173 vol
last
Ask 1¢
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ByteDance
Will ByteDance be the second-best AI lab at the end of December 2026?
4%
Open · $0 24h · $285 vol
Bid 0.3¢ · Ask 7¢
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Nvidia
Will Nvidia be the second-best AI lab at the end of December 2026?
<1%
Open · $0 24h · $165 vol
last
Ask 1¢
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Thinky
Will Thinky be the second-best AI lab at the end of December 2026?
4%
Open · $0 24h · $257 vol
Bid 0.3¢ · Ask 6.8¢
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MiniMax
Will MiniMax be the second-best AI lab at the end of December 2026?
No quote
Open · $0 24h · $217 vol
wide spread <1–12%
Bid 0.2¢ · Ask 11.9¢
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Mistral
Will Mistral be the second-best AI lab at the end of December 2026?
1%
Open · $0 24h · $260 vol
Bid 0.2¢ · Ask 1.2¢
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Meituan
Will Meituan be the second-best AI lab at the end of December 2026?
3%
Open · $0 24h · $237 vol
Bid 0.3¢ · Ask 6.4¢
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Tencent
Will Tencent be the second-best AI lab at the end of December 2026?
1%
Open · $0 24h · $217 vol
Bid 0.1¢ · Ask 0.9¢
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StepFun
Will StepFun be the second-best AI lab at the end of December 2026?
1%
Open · $0 24h · $217 vol
Bid 0.2¢ · Ask 0.9¢
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Microsoft
Will Microsoft be the second-best AI lab at the end of December 2026?
<1%
Open · $0 24h · $163 vol
last
Ask 1¢
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Company A
Will Company A be the second-best AI lab at the end of December 2026?
No quote
Open · not taking orders · $0 24h · $0 vol
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Company B
Will Company B be the second-best AI lab at the end of December 2026?
No quote
Open · not taking orders · $0 24h · $0 vol
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Company C
Will Company C be the second-best AI lab at the end of December 2026?
No quote
Open · not taking orders · $0 24h · $0 vol
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Company D
Will Company D be the second-best AI lab at the end of December 2026?
No quote
Open · not taking orders · $0 24h · $0 vol
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Company E
Will Company E be the second-best AI lab at the end of December 2026?
No quote
Open · not taking orders · $0 24h · $0 vol
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Company F
Will Company F be the second-best AI lab at the end of December 2026?
No quote
Open · not taking orders · $0 24h · $0 vol
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Company G
Will Company G be the second-best AI lab at the end of December 2026?
No quote
Open · not taking orders · $0 24h · $0 vol
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Company H
Will Company H be the second-best AI lab at the end of December 2026?
No quote
Open · not taking orders · $0 24h · $0 vol
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Company I
Will Company I be the second-best AI lab at the end of December 2026?
No quote
Open · not taking orders · $0 24h · $0 vol
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Company J
Will Company J be the second-best AI lab at the end of December 2026?
No quote
Open · not taking orders · $0 24h · $0 vol
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Company K
Will Company K be the second-best AI lab at the end of December 2026?
No quote
Open · not taking orders · $0 24h · $0 vol
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Company L
Will Company L be the second-best AI lab at the end of December 2026?
No quote
Open · not taking orders · $0 24h · $0 vol
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Company M
Will Company M be the second-best AI lab at the end of December 2026?
No quote
Open · not taking orders · $0 24h · $0 vol
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Other
Will any other AI lab/company be the second-best AI lab at the end of December 2026?
No quote
Open · not taking orders · $0 24h · $0 vol
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Event statistics

24h vol: $63
Volume: $15k
Liquidity: $11k
Open int.: —

How this resolves

One winner.

Scheduled end: Dec 31, 2026 ET

Trading
Closed
In review
Resolved

Rules text

This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on December 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market. Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score. AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking. The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".

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