Second-best AI Lab end of November?

Openone winner

Selected outcome

Google

38%

Google · 38%

Stored quote · checking the venue

Scheduled end: Nov 30, 2026 ET

Price

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Markets

Anthropic
Will Anthropic be the second-best AI lab at the end of November 2026?
40%
Open · $200 24h · $4,631 vol
Bid 37¢ · Ask 43¢
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Meta
Will Meta be the second-best AI lab at the end of November 2026?
12%
Open · $0 24h · $2,611 vol
Bid 10¢ · Ask 14¢
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Google
Will Google be the second-best AI lab at the end of November 2026?
38%
Open · $133 24h · $9,113 vol
Bid 37¢ · Ask 39¢
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Alibaba
Will Alibaba be the second-best AI lab at the end of November 2026?
2%
Open · $0 24h · $581 vol
Bid 1.1¢ · Ask 1.9¢
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Moonshot
Will Moonshot be the second-best AI lab at the end of November 2026?
1%
Open · $0 24h · $724 vol
Bid 0.2¢ · Ask 1¢
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OpenAI
Will OpenAI be the second-best AI lab at the end of November 2026?
6%
Open · $0 24h · $793 vol
wide spread 2–13%
Bid 1.8¢ · Ask 12.6¢
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Baidu
Will Baidu be the second-best AI lab at the end of November 2026?
<1%
Open · $0 24h · $566 vol
Bid 0.1¢ · Ask 0.4¢
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Z.ai
Will Z.ai be the second-best AI lab at the end of November 2026?
1%
Open · $0 24h · $629 vol
Bid 0.3¢ · Ask 0.9¢
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Xiaomi
Will Xiaomi be the second-best AI lab at the end of November 2026?
1%
Open · $0 24h · $767 vol
Bid 0.4¢ · Ask 1.9¢
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SpaceXAI
Will SpaceXAI be the second-best AI lab at the end of November 2026?
1%
Open · $0 24h · $688 vol
Bid 0.3¢ · Ask 1.8¢
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DeepSeek
Will DeepSeek be the second-best AI lab at the end of November 2026?
<1%
Open · $0 24h · $600 vol
Bid 0.1¢ · Ask 0.2¢
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Amazon
Will Amazon be the second-best AI lab at the end of November 2026?
<1%
Open · $0 24h · $482 vol
Bid 0.1¢ · Ask 0.2¢
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ByteDance
Will ByteDance be the second-best AI lab at the end of November 2026?
<1%
Open · $0 24h · $492 vol
Bid 0.1¢ · Ask 0.4¢
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Nvidia
Will Nvidia be the second-best AI lab at the end of November 2026?
<1%
Open · $0 24h · $433 vol
Bid 0.1¢ · Ask 0.3¢
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Thinky
Will Thinky be the second-best AI lab at the end of November 2026?
<1%
Open · $0 24h · $476 vol
Bid 0.1¢ · Ask 0.4¢
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MiniMax
Will MiniMax be the second-best AI lab at the end of November 2026?
<1%
Open · $0 24h · $476 vol
Bid 0.1¢ · Ask 0.4¢
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Mistral
Will Mistral be the second-best AI lab at the end of November 2026?
<1%
Open · $0 24h · $385 vol
Bid 0.1¢ · Ask 0.4¢
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Meituan
Will Meituan be the second-best AI lab at the end of November 2026?
<1%
Open · $0 24h · $476 vol
Bid 0.1¢ · Ask 0.4¢
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Tencent
Will Tencent be the second-best AI lab at the end of November 2026?
<1%
Open · $0 24h · $485 vol
Bid 0.1¢ · Ask 0.4¢
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StepFun
Will StepFun be the second-best AI lab at the end of November 2026?
<1%
Open · $0 24h · $510 vol
Bid 0.1¢ · Ask 0.2¢
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Microsoft
Will Microsoft be the second-best AI lab at the end of November 2026?
<1%
Open · $0 24h · $465 vol
Bid 0.1¢ · Ask 0.2¢
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Other
Will any other AI lab/company be the second-best AI lab at the end of November 2026?
No quote
Open · not taking orders · $0 24h · $0 vol
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Company A
Will Company A be the second-best AI lab at the end of November 2026?
No quote
Open · not taking orders · $0 24h · $0 vol
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Company B
Will Company B be the second-best AI lab at the end of November 2026?
No quote
Open · not taking orders · $0 24h · $0 vol
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Company C
Will Company C be the second-best AI lab at the end of November 2026?
No quote
Open · not taking orders · $0 24h · $0 vol
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Company D
Will Company D be the second-best AI lab at the end of November 2026?
No quote
Open · not taking orders · $0 24h · $0 vol
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Company E
Will Company E be the second-best AI lab at the end of November 2026?
No quote
Open · not taking orders · $0 24h · $0 vol
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Company F
Will Company F be the second-best AI lab at the end of November 2026?
No quote
Open · not taking orders · $0 24h · $0 vol
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Company G
Will Company G be the second-best AI lab at the end of November 2026?
No quote
Open · not taking orders · $0 24h · $0 vol
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Company H
Will Company H be the second-best AI lab at the end of November 2026?
No quote
Open · not taking orders · $0 24h · $0 vol
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Company I
Will Company I be the second-best AI lab at the end of November 2026?
No quote
Open · not taking orders · $0 24h · $0 vol
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Company J
Will Company J be the second-best AI lab at the end of November 2026?
No quote
Open · not taking orders · $0 24h · $0 vol
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Company K
Will Company K be the second-best AI lab at the end of November 2026?
No quote
Open · not taking orders · $0 24h · $0 vol
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Company L
Will Company L be the second-best AI lab at the end of November 2026?
No quote
Open · not taking orders · $0 24h · $0 vol
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Company M
Will Company M be the second-best AI lab at the end of November 2026?
No quote
Open · not taking orders · $0 24h · $0 vol
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Event statistics

24h vol: $333
Volume: $26k
Liquidity: $11k
Open int.: —

How this resolves

One winner.

Scheduled end: Nov 30, 2026 ET

Trading
Closed
In review
Resolved

Rules text

This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on November 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market. Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score. AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking. The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".

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