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Second-Best Chinese AI Company end of December?

Openone winner

Selected outcome

Company K

Company K

Stored quote · checking the venue

Scheduled end
Dec 31, 2026 ET

Price

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Markets

  • Alibaba

    Will Alibaba be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of December 2026?

    25%

    Open · $160 24h · $3,095 vol

    Bid 23¢ · Ask 27¢

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  • Moonshot

    Will Moonshot be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of December 2026?

    14%

    Open · $376 24h · $2,610 vol

    Bid 11¢ · Ask 17¢

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  • Baidu

    Will Baidu be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of December 2026?

    4%

    Open · $0 24h · $873 vol

    Bid 2.1¢ · Ask 5.1¢

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  • Z.ai

    Will Z.ai be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of December 2026?

    12%

    Open · $0 24h · $2,002 vol

    Bid 11¢ · Ask 13¢

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  • Xiaomi

    Will Xiaomi be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of December 2026?

    21%

    Open · $213 24h · $2,600 vol

    Bid 18¢ · Ask 23¢

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  • DeepSeek

    Will DeepSeek be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of December 2026?

    4%

    Open · $0 24h · $490 vol

    Bid 2.2¢ · Ask 6¢

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  • ByteDance

    Will ByteDance be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of December 2026?

    1%

    Open · $0 24h · $428 vol

    Bid 0.3¢ · Ask 1.9¢

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  • MiniMax

    Will MiniMax be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of December 2026?

    3%

    Open · $0 24h · $872 vol

    Bid 0.6¢ · Ask 4.9¢

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  • Meituan

    Will Meituan be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of December 2026?

    <1%

    Open · $0 24h · $332 vol

    Bid 0.1¢ · Ask 0.2¢

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  • Tencent

    Will Tencent be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of December 2026?

    3%

    Open · $0 24h · $585 vol

    Bid 1¢ · Ask 5.8¢

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  • StepFun

    Will StepFun be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of December 2026?

    <1%

    Open · $0 24h · $328 vol

    Bid 0.2¢ · Ask 0.4¢

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  • Company A

    Will Company A be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of December 2026?

    No quote

    Open · not taking orders · $0 24h · $0 vol

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  • Company B

    Will Company B be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of December 2026?

    No quote

    Open · not taking orders · $0 24h · $0 vol

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  • Company C

    Will Company C be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of December 2026?

    No quote

    Open · not taking orders · $0 24h · $0 vol

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  • Company D

    Will Company D be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of December 2026?

    No quote

    Open · not taking orders · $0 24h · $0 vol

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  • Company E

    Will Company E be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of December 2026?

    No quote

    Open · not taking orders · $0 24h · $0 vol

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  • Company F

    Will Company F be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of December 2026?

    No quote

    Open · not taking orders · $0 24h · $0 vol

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  • Company G

    Will Company G be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of December 2026?

    No quote

    Open · not taking orders · $0 24h · $0 vol

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  • Company H

    Will Company H be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of December 2026?

    No quote

    Open · not taking orders · $0 24h · $0 vol

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  • Company I

    Will Company I be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of December 2026?

    No quote

    Open · not taking orders · $0 24h · $0 vol

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  • Company J

    Will Company J be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of December 2026?

    No quote

    Open · not taking orders · $0 24h · $0 vol

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  • Company K

    Will Company K be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of December 2026?

    No quote

    Open · not taking orders · $0 24h · $0 vol

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  • Company L

    Will Company L be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of December 2026?

    No quote

    Open · not taking orders · $0 24h · $0 vol

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  • Company M

    Will Company M be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of December 2026?

    No quote

    Open · not taking orders · $0 24h · $0 vol

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  • Other

    Will any other company be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of December 2026?

    No quote

    Open · not taking orders · $0 24h · $0 vol

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Event statistics
24h vol
$749
Volume
$14k
Liquidity
$3,516
Open int.
—

How this resolves

One winner.

Scheduled end
Dec 31, 2026 ET
  1. Trading
  2. Closed
  3. In review
  4. Resolved
Rules text

This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked primarily Chinese company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on December 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Chinese Companies include but are not limited to Alibaba, Moonshot, Baidu, Z.ai, Xiaomi, DeepSeek, ByteDance, MiniMax, Meituan, Tencent, and StepFun. Companies not headquartered in China or not primarily owned or operating within the Chinese technology ecosystem are not considered primarily Chinese. Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market. Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score. Qualifying Chinese AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant qualifying Chinese AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Meituan” would be ranked ahead of “Xiaomi”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking. The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".

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