Selected outcome
ByteDance
3%
ByteDance · 3%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Nov 30, 2026 ET
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
AlibabaWill Alibaba be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of November 2026?
32%
Open · $48 24h · $5,129 vol
Bid 30¢ · Ask 33¢
MoonshotWill Moonshot be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of November 2026?
16%
Open · $0 24h · $2,897 vol
Bid 15¢ · Ask 17¢
BaiduWill Baidu be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of November 2026?
3%
Open · $0 24h · $305 vol
Bid 1.1¢ · Ask 4.4¢
Z.aiWill Z.ai be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of November 2026?
13%
Open · $0 24h · $1,470 vol
Bid 12¢ · Ask 14¢
XiaomiWill Xiaomi be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of November 2026?
27%
Open · $0 24h · $1,487 vol
Bid 26¢ · Ask 27.9¢
DeepSeekWill DeepSeek be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of November 2026?
4%
Open · $0 24h · $309 vol
Bid 1.7¢ · Ask 6.7¢
ByteDanceWill ByteDance be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of November 2026?
3%
Open · $0 24h · $356 vol
Bid 1.1¢ · Ask 5.4¢
MiniMaxWill MiniMax be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of November 2026?
2%
Open · $0 24h · $352 vol
Bid 1.1¢ · Ask 3.2¢
MeituanWill Meituan be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of November 2026?
4%
Open · $0 24h · $916 vol
Bid 0.3¢ · Ask 8.5¢
TencentWill Tencent be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of November 2026?
3%
Open · $0 24h · $338 vol
Bid 1.1¢ · Ask 4.8¢
StepFunWill StepFun be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of November 2026?
3%
Open · $0 24h · $1,003 vol
Bid 2.6¢ · Ask 3.4¢
OtherWill any other company be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of November 2026?
No quote
Open · not taking orders · $0 24h · $0 vol
- Company A
Will Company A be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of November 2026?
No quote
Open · not taking orders · $0 24h · $0 vol
- Company B
Will Company B be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of November 2026?
No quote
Open · not taking orders · $0 24h · $0 vol
- Company C
Will Company C be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of November 2026?
No quote
Open · not taking orders · $0 24h · $0 vol
- Company D
Will Company D be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of November 2026?
No quote
Open · not taking orders · $0 24h · $0 vol
- Company E
Will Company E be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of November 2026?
No quote
Open · not taking orders · $0 24h · $0 vol
- Company F
Will Company F be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of November 2026?
No quote
Open · not taking orders · $0 24h · $0 vol
- Company G
Will Company G be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of November 2026?
No quote
Open · not taking orders · $0 24h · $0 vol
- Company H
Will Company H be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of November 2026?
No quote
Open · not taking orders · $0 24h · $0 vol
- Company I
Will Company I be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of November 2026?
No quote
Open · not taking orders · $0 24h · $0 vol
- Company J
Will Company J be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of November 2026?
No quote
Open · not taking orders · $0 24h · $0 vol
- Company K
Will Company K be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of November 2026?
No quote
Open · not taking orders · $0 24h · $0 vol
- Company L
Will Company L be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of November 2026?
No quote
Open · not taking orders · $0 24h · $0 vol
- Company M
Will Company M be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of November 2026?
No quote
Open · not taking orders · $0 24h · $0 vol
Event statistics
How this resolves
One winner.
- Scheduled end
- Nov 30, 2026 ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked primarily Chinese company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on November 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Chinese Companies include but are not limited to Alibaba, Moonshot, Baidu, Z.ai, Xiaomi, DeepSeek, ByteDance, MiniMax, Meituan, Tencent, and StepFun. Companies not headquartered in China or not primarily owned or operating within the Chinese technology ecosystem are not considered primarily Chinese. Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market. Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score. Qualifying Chinese AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant qualifying Chinese AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Meituan” would be ranked ahead of “Xiaomi”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking. The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".