Second-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of December?

Openone winner

Selected outcome

Baidu

Baidu · 1%

Stored quote · checking the venue

Scheduled end: Dec 31, 2026 ET

Price

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Markets

Anthropic
Will Anthropic be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of December 2026?
23%
Open · $15 24h · $7,106 vol
Bid 20¢ · Ask 26¢
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Google
Will Google be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of December 2026?
29%
Open · $32 24h · $4,734 vol
Bid 28¢ · Ask 30¢
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SpaceXAI
Will SpaceXAI be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of December 2026?
1%
Open · $0 24h · $275 vol
wide spread 1–12%
Bid 0.7¢ · Ask 11.5¢
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Alibaba
Will Alibaba be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of December 2026?
4%
Open · $0 24h · $223 vol
Bid 1¢ · Ask 6.9¢
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OpenAI
Will OpenAI be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of December 2026?
4%
Open · $0 24h · $215 vol
Bid 1¢ · Ask 6.9¢
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Baidu
Will Baidu be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of December 2026?
1%
Open · $0 24h · $232 vol
Bid 0.1¢ · Ask 0.9¢
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Z.ai
Will Z.ai be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of December 2026?
4%
Open · $0 24h · $205 vol
Bid 0.6¢ · Ask 8.1¢
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Xiaomi
Will Xiaomi be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of December 2026?
4%
Open · $0 24h · $205 vol
Bid 0.5¢ · Ask 6.7¢
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Moonshot
Will Moonshot be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of December 2026?
1%
Open · $0 24h · $215 vol
Bid 0.4¢ · Ask 1.2¢
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Meta
Will Meta be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of December 2026?
14%
Open · $107 24h · $681 vol
Bid 12¢ · Ask 16¢
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Nvidia
Will Nvidia be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of December 2026?
<1%
Open · $0 24h · $180 vol
last
Ask 1¢
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DeepSeek
Will DeepSeek be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of December 2026?
6%
Open · $0 24h · $205 vol
Bid 0.5¢ · Ask 10.5¢
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MiniMax
Will MiniMax be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of December 2026?
7%
Open · $0 24h · $400 vol
Bid 4.6¢ · Ask 9.3¢
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Meituan
Will Meituan be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of December 2026?
1%
Open · $0 24h · $205 vol
Bid 0.1¢ · Ask 0.9¢
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Amazon
Will Amazon be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of December 2026?
3%
Open · $0 24h · $245 vol
Bid 0.3¢ · Ask 5.9¢
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ByteDance
Will ByteDance be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of December 2026?
6%
Open · $0 24h · $263 vol
wide spread <1–11%
Bid 0.4¢ · Ask 11.4¢
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Mistral
Will Mistral be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of December 2026?
1%
Open · $0 24h · $222 vol
Bid 0.1¢ · Ask 0.9¢
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Tencent
Will Tencent be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of December 2026?
6%
Open · $0 24h · $225 vol
wide spread <1–11%
Bid 0.3¢ · Ask 11.3¢
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StepFun
Will StepFun be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of December 2026?
5%
Open · $0 24h · $562 vol
Bid 0.3¢ · Ask 8.9¢
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Microsoft
Will Microsoft be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of December 2026?
7%
Open · $0 24h · $208 vol
wide spread <1–14%
Bid 0.2¢ · Ask 13.7¢
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Thinky
Will Thinky be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of December 2026?
5%
Open · $0 24h · $205 vol
Bid 0.3¢ · Ask 10.2¢
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Company A
Will Company A be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of December 2026?
No quote
Open · not taking orders · $0 24h · $0 vol
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Company B
Will Company B be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of December 2026?
No quote
Open · not taking orders · $0 24h · $0 vol
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Company C
Will Company C be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of December 2026?
No quote
Open · not taking orders · $0 24h · $0 vol
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Company D
Will Company D be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of December 2026?
No quote
Open · not taking orders · $0 24h · $0 vol
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Company E
Will Company E be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of December 2026?
No quote
Open · not taking orders · $0 24h · $0 vol
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Company F
Will Company F be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of December 2026?
No quote
Open · not taking orders · $0 24h · $0 vol
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Company G
Will Company G be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of December 2026?
No quote
Open · not taking orders · $0 24h · $0 vol
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Company H
Will Company H be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of December 2026?
No quote
Open · not taking orders · $0 24h · $0 vol
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Company I
Will Company I be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of December 2026?
No quote
Open · not taking orders · $0 24h · $0 vol
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Company J
Will Company J be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of December 2026?
No quote
Open · not taking orders · $0 24h · $0 vol
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Company K
Will Company K be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of December 2026?
No quote
Open · not taking orders · $0 24h · $0 vol
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Company L
Will Company L be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of December 2026?
No quote
Open · not taking orders · $0 24h · $0 vol
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Company M
Will Company M be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of December 2026?
No quote
Open · not taking orders · $0 24h · $0 vol
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Other
Will any other AI lab/company be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of December 2026?
No quote
Open · not taking orders · $0 24h · $0 vol
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Event statistics

24h vol: $154
Volume: $17k
Liquidity: $6,338
Open int.: —

How this resolves

One winner.

Scheduled end: Dec 31, 2026 ET

Trading
Closed
In review
Resolved

Rules text

This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on December 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market. Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score. AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking. The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".

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