Selected outcome
Dems MS & SC, Ind MT
2%
Dems MS & SC, Ind MT · 2%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2026 ET
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
Reps sweepWill Republicans win the Mississippi, South Carolina, and Montana Senate seats?
77%
Open · $442 24h · $472 vol
Bid 76¢ · Ask 78¢
Reps MS & SC, Ind MTWill Republicans win the Mississippi and South Carolina Senate seats, and an independent win Montana?
3%
Open · $126 24h · $146 vol
Bid 0.3¢ · Ask 4.9¢
Reps MS & MT, Dems SCWill Republicans win the Mississippi and Montana Senate seats, and Democrats win South Carolina?
17%
Open · $280 24h · $320 vol
Bid 16¢ · Ask 18¢
Reps MS, Dems SC, Ind MTWill Republicans win the Mississippi Senate seat, Democrats win South Carolina, and an independent win Montana?
4%
Open · $130 24h · $150 vol
Bid 0.7¢ · Ask 6.5¢
Dems MS, Reps SC & MTWill Democrats win the Mississippi Senate seat, and Republicans win South Carolina and Montana?
3%
Open · $110 24h · $130 vol
Bid 0.4¢ · Ask 5.6¢
Dems MS, Reps SC, Ind MTWill Democrats win the Mississippi Senate seat, Republicans win South Carolina, and an independent win Montana?
2%
Open · $116 24h · $136 vol
Bid 0.4¢ · Ask 4.3¢
Dems MS & SC, Reps MTWill Democrats win the Mississippi and South Carolina Senate seats, and Republicans win Montana?
2%
Open · $130 24h · $150 vol
Bid 0.2¢ · Ask 4.5¢
Dems MS & SC, Ind MTWill Democrats win the Mississippi and South Carolina Senate seats, and an independent win Montana?
2%
Open · $114 24h · $134 vol
Bid 0.3¢ · Ask 4.4¢
OtherWill another outcome occur in the Mississippi, South Carolina, and Montana Senate races?
No quote
Open · not taking orders · $0 24h · $0 vol
Event statistics
How this resolves
One winner.
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2026 ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
This market will resolve according to the outcome of the United States Senate general elections in Mississippi, South Carolina, and Montana that are currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, inclusive of any potential runoffs. A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of that party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The Montana race is represented by “Republican” and “Independent” (Ind) options. The “Independent” option refers to a win by a candidate running as an independent in the Montana Senate election. For purposes of this market, Seth Bodnar will be considered to be an Independent regardless of any affiliation that he may have with any party. If the results of one of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins the Mississippi or South Carolina election, or the Democratic nominee or a third-party candidate wins the Montana election, this market will resolve to "Other". For purposes of this market, a "sweep" is when a party wins all races. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
