Selected outcome
Utah
wide spread 1–99%
Utah
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Oct 22, 9:00 AM ET
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
AlabamaWill Alabama have D4 (Exceptional Drought) this week?
No quote
Open · $0 24h · $0 vol
- Arizona
Will Arizona have D4 (Exceptional Drought) this week?
No quote
Open · $0 24h · $40 vol
- Arkansas
Will Arkansas have D4 (Exceptional Drought) this week?
No quote
Open · $0 24h · $0 vol
wide spread <1–>99%
Bid 0.1¢ · Ask 99.9¢
- California
Will California have D4 (Exceptional Drought) this week?
No quote
Open · $0 24h · $10 vol
Ask 99¢
- Colorado
Will Colorado have D4 (Exceptional Drought) this week?
No quote
Open · $0 24h · $10 vol
Ask 99¢
- Delaware
Will Delaware have D4 (Exceptional Drought) this week?
No quote
Open · $0 24h · $5 vol
wide spread 1–99%
Bid 1¢ · Ask 99¢
- Florida
Will Florida have D4 (Exceptional Drought) this week?
No quote
Open · $0 24h · $5 vol
wide spread 1–99%
Bid 1¢ · Ask 99¢
- Georgia
Will Georgia have D4 (Exceptional Drought) this week?
No quote
Open · $0 24h · $5 vol
wide spread 1–99%
Bid 1¢ · Ask 99¢
- Idaho
Will Idaho have D4 (Exceptional Drought) this week?
No quote
Open · $0 24h · $0 vol
wide spread 1–99%
Bid 1¢ · Ask 99¢
- Illinois
Will Illinois have D4 (Exceptional Drought) this week?
No quote
Open · $0 24h · $5 vol
wide spread 1–99%
Bid 1¢ · Ask 99¢
- Indiana
Will Indiana have D4 (Exceptional Drought) this week?
No quote
Open · $0 24h · $0 vol
wide spread <1–>99%
Bid 0.1¢ · Ask 99.9¢
- Iowa
Will Iowa have D4 (Exceptional Drought) this week?
No quote
Open · $0 24h · $0 vol
wide spread <1–>99%
Bid 0.1¢ · Ask 99.9¢
- Kansas
Will Kansas have D4 (Exceptional Drought) this week?
No quote
Open · $0 24h · $5 vol
wide spread 1–99%
Bid 1¢ · Ask 99¢
- Kentucky
Will Kentucky have D4 (Exceptional Drought) this week?
No quote
Open · $0 24h · $0 vol
wide spread 1–99%
Bid 1¢ · Ask 99¢
- Louisiana
Will Louisiana have D4 (Exceptional Drought) this week?
No quote
Open · $0 24h · $0 vol
wide spread 1–99%
Bid 1¢ · Ask 99¢
- Maryland
Will Maryland have D4 (Exceptional Drought) this week?
No quote
Open · $0 24h · $0 vol
wide spread 1–99%
Bid 1¢ · Ask 99¢
- Minnesota
Will Minnesota have D4 (Exceptional Drought) this week?
No quote
Open · $0 24h · $0 vol
wide spread 1–99%
Bid 1¢ · Ask 99¢
- Mississippi
Will Mississippi have D4 (Exceptional Drought) this week?
No quote
Open · $0 24h · $0 vol
wide spread 1–99%
Bid 1¢ · Ask 99¢
- Missouri
Will Missouri have D4 (Exceptional Drought) this week?
No quote
Open · $0 24h · $0 vol
wide spread 1–99%
Bid 1¢ · Ask 99¢
- Montana
Will Montana have D4 (Exceptional Drought) this week?
No quote
Open · $0 24h · $0 vol
wide spread 1–99%
Bid 1¢ · Ask 99¢
- Nebraska
Will Nebraska have D4 (Exceptional Drought) this week?
No quote
Open · $0 24h · $0 vol
wide spread 1–99%
Bid 1¢ · Ask 99¢
- Nevada
Will Nevada have D4 (Exceptional Drought) this week?
No quote
Open · $0 24h · $0 vol
wide spread 1–99%
Bid 1¢ · Ask 99¢
- New Jersey
Will New Jersey have D4 (Exceptional Drought) this week?
No quote
Open · $0 24h · $0 vol
- New Mexico
Will New Mexico have D4 (Exceptional Drought) this week?
No quote
Open · $0 24h · $0 vol
- North Carolina
Will North Carolina have D4 (Exceptional Drought) this week?
No quote
Open · $0 24h · $0 vol
wide spread 1–99%
Bid 1¢ · Ask 99¢
- North Dakota
Will North Dakota have D4 (Exceptional Drought) this week?
No quote
Open · $0 24h · $0 vol
- Ohio
Will Ohio have D4 (Exceptional Drought) this week?
No quote
Open · $0 24h · $0 vol
wide spread <1–>99%
Bid 0.1¢ · Ask 99.9¢
- Oklahoma
Will Oklahoma have D4 (Exceptional Drought) this week?
88%
Open · $0 24h · $40 vol
wide spread 80–99%
Bid 80¢ · Ask 99¢
- Oregon
Will Oregon have D4 (Exceptional Drought) this week?
No quote
Open · $0 24h · $0 vol
wide spread 1–99%
Bid 1¢ · Ask 99¢
- Pennsylvania
Will Pennsylvania have D4 (Exceptional Drought) this week?
No quote
Open · $0 24h · $0 vol
wide spread 1–99%
Bid 1¢ · Ask 99¢
- South Carolina
Will South Carolina have D4 (Exceptional Drought) this week?
No quote
Open · $0 24h · $0 vol
wide spread 1–99%
Bid 1¢ · Ask 99¢
- South Dakota
Will South Dakota have D4 (Exceptional Drought) this week?
No quote
Open · $0 24h · $0 vol
wide spread 1–99%
Bid 1¢ · Ask 99¢
- Tennessee
Will Tennessee have D4 (Exceptional Drought) this week?
No quote
Open · $0 24h · $0 vol
wide spread 1–99%
Bid 1¢ · Ask 99¢
- Texas
Will Texas have D4 (Exceptional Drought) this week?
No quote
Open · $0 24h · $0 vol
wide spread 1–99%
Bid 1¢ · Ask 99¢
- Utah
Will Utah have D4 (Exceptional Drought) this week?
No quote
Open · $0 24h · $0 vol
wide spread 1–99%
Bid 1¢ · Ask 99¢
- Virginia
Will Virginia have D4 (Exceptional Drought) this week?
No quote
Open · $0 24h · $0 vol
wide spread 1–99%
Bid 1¢ · Ask 99¢
- Washington
Will Washington have D4 (Exceptional Drought) this week?
No quote
Open · $0 24h · $0 vol
wide spread 1–99%
Bid 1¢ · Ask 99¢
- West Virginia
Will West Virginia have D4 (Exceptional Drought) this week?
No quote
Open · $0 24h · $0 vol
wide spread 1–99%
Bid 1¢ · Ask 99¢
- Wisconsin
Will Wisconsin have D4 (Exceptional Drought) this week?
No quote
Open · $0 24h · $0 vol
wide spread 1–99%
Bid 1¢ · Ask 99¢
- Wyoming
Will Wyoming have D4 (Exceptional Drought) this week?
No quote
Open · $0 24h · $0 vol
wide spread 1–99%
Bid 1¢ · Ask 99¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Oct 22, 9:00 AM ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Utah has D4 (Exceptional Drought) on 0.05% or more of its land area in the US Drought Monitor release for the week of October 20, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". D4 area below 0.05% is treated as cartographic noise at state borders and resolves "No". Utah carries a market in every month of the year, so this market exists for the week valid October 20, 2026. Weeks outside that window have no Utah market and make no claim about Utah's drought. Each USDM release covers the seven-day period ending Tuesday at 8:00 AM ET and is published the following Thursday. Resolution is based on the first published US Drought Monitor release for the listed week. The first published release is final, and that publication is the revisions cutoff; subsequent revisions will not be considered. In the case that the Resolution Source publishes data, sufficient to settle a Market, that is clearly erroneous and the result of technical or operational error, or of unauthorized interference with the Resolution Source or its data, the Market may remain open for a period of up to seven (7) calendar days (ET) from the time of the original release, in anticipation of a correction by the Resolution Source. If the Resolution Source publishes a corrected value within that period, that value will be eligible for resolution. If no corrected value is published within that period, Polymarket will issue a Clarification to determine whether the originally published value may be eligible for resolution, or whether other action is required to preserve the orderly functioning of the Market. Revisions remain subject to the cutoff above. The only exception is a correction of a clearly erroneous print under the preceding paragraph, which will be used even if published after the cutoff. If the US Drought Monitor has not been published by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the scheduled publication date, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is the US Drought Monitor at droughtmonitor.unl.edu.