Selected outcome
No IPO before 2028
wide spread 2–14%
No IPO before 2028
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Dec 31, 2027 ET
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
<2BWill Strava’s market cap be less than $2B at market close on IPO day?
1%
Open · $0 24h · $992 vol
wide spread 1–14%
Bid 0.8¢ · Ask 14.1¢
- 2B–3B
Will Strava’s market cap be between $2B and $3B at market close on IPO day?
No quote
Open · $0 24h · $55k vol
wide spread 22–39%
Bid 22¢ · Ask 39¢
- 3B–4B
Will Strava’s market cap be between $3B and $4B at market close on IPO day?
8%
Open · $0 24h · $28k vol
Bid 7.4¢ · Ask 8.4¢
- 4B–5B
Will Strava’s market cap be between $4B and $5B at market close on IPO day?
19%
Open · $0 24h · $1,655 vol
wide spread 13–42%
Bid 13¢ · Ask 42¢
- 5B–7B
Will Strava’s market cap be between $5B and $7B at market close on IPO day?
6%
Open · $0 24h · $1,067 vol
Bid 1.1¢ · Ask 9.9¢
- 7B–10B
Will Strava’s market cap be between $7B and $10B at market close on IPO day?
1%
Open · $10 24h · $1,259 vol
wide spread 1–52%
Bid 0.6¢ · Ask 52.3¢
- 10B–15B
Will Strava’s market cap be between $10B and $15B at market close on IPO day?
5%
Open · $0 24h · $1,776 vol
Bid 2.6¢ · Ask 8.3¢
- 15B+
Will Strava’s market cap be at least $15B at market close on IPO day?
4%
Open · $0 24h · $1,464 vol
Bid 0.9¢ · Ask 7.6¢
- No IPO before 2028
Will Strava not IPO by December 31, 2027?
No quote
Open · $0 24h · $789 vol
wide spread 2–14%
Bid 1.5¢ · Ask 14¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
One winner.
- Scheduled end
- Dec 31, 2027 ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
This market will resolve based on Strava's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading. If no Strava IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028". Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day. If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used. In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Strava’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.