Selected outcome
$100M
wide spread 71–87%
77%
$100M · 77%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Jan 1, 2028 ET
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
$50MSurf FDV above $50M one day after launch?
No quote
Open · $587 24h · $95k vol
wide spread 70–82%
Bid 70¢ · Ask 82¢
- $100M
Surf FDV above $100M one day after launch?
77%
Open · $5 24h · $14k vol
wide spread 71–87%
Bid 71¢ · Ask 87¢
- $200M
Surf FDV above $200M one day after launch?
49%
Open · $30 24h · $103 vol
wide spread 49–87%
Bid 49¢ · Ask 87¢
- $300M
Surf FDV above $300M one day after launch?
38%
Open · $113 24h · $824 vol
wide spread 30–83%
Bid 30¢ · Ask 83¢
- $500M
Surf FDV above $500M one day after launch?
No quote
Open · $33 24h · $951 vol
wide spread 29–44%
Bid 29¢ · Ask 44¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Jan 1, 2028 ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Surf's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Surf (https://x.com/SurfAI) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".