Selected outcome
December 31, 2027
66%
December 31, 2027 · 66%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Dec 31, 2026 ET
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
December 31, 2026Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?
20%
Open · $9,594 24h · $302k vol
Bid 19¢ · Ask 20¢
January 31, 2027Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by January 31, 2027?
30%
Open · $2,122 24h · $29k vol
Bid 29¢ · Ask 31¢
December 31, 2027Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31, 2027?
66%
Open · $6,964 24h · $55k vol
Bid 64¢ · Ask 67¢
February 28, 2027Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by February 28, 2027?
36%
Open · $1,338 24h · $26k vol
Bid 35¢ · Ask 37¢
June 30, 2027Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30, 2027?
55%
Open · $3,951 24h · $54k vol
Bid 54¢ · Ask 55¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Dec 31, 2026 ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is officially announced that Tesla, Inc. will be, has been, or is being acquired by or merged with SpaceX, or vice versa, by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An announcement by Tesla or SpaceX within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether or when the announced acquisition/merger actually occurs. Announcements of partial sales may count, as long as the acquiring company acquires a controlling interest in the other company. A “controlling interest” refers to a change in ownership sufficient to control the company’s strategic decisions (typically more than 50% of equity, or equivalent control via voting and governance rights). Transactions or investments that do not result in a transfer of controlling interest will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Tesla or SpaceX; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.