Selected outcome
Person I
Person I
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2026 ET
Price
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Markets
James Talarico (D)Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
65%
Open · $119k 24h · $2.1M vol
Bid 64¢ · Ask 65¢
Ken Paxton (R)Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
36%
Open · $399k 24h · $2.7M vol
Bid 35¢ · Ask 36¢
Person AWill Person A win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
No quote
Open · $0 24h · $0 vol
Person BWill Person B win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
No quote
Open · $0 24h · $0 vol
Person CWill Person C win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
No quote
Open · $0 24h · $0 vol
Person DWill Person D win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
No quote
Open · $0 24h · $0 vol
Person EWill Person E win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
No quote
Open · $0 24h · $0 vol
Person FWill Person F win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
No quote
Open · $0 24h · $0 vol
Person GWill Person G win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
No quote
Open · $0 24h · $0 vol
Person HWill Person H win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
No quote
Open · $0 24h · $0 vol
Person IWill Person I win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
No quote
Open · $0 24h · $0 vol
Person JWill Person J win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
No quote
Open · $0 24h · $0 vol
OtherWill a candidate not listed above win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
No quote
Open · $0 24h · $0 vol
Event statistics
How this resolves
One winner.
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2026 ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Texas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
