Selected outcome
Alibaba
5%
Alibaba · 5%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Dec 31, 2026 ET
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
AnthropicWill Anthropic be the third-best AI lab at the end of December 2026?
14%
Open · $336 24h · $4,995 vol
Bid 12¢ · Ask 15¢
MetaWill Meta be the third-best AI lab at the end of December 2026?
37%
Open · $0 24h · $5,934 vol
Bid 36¢ · Ask 37¢
GoogleWill Google be the third-best AI lab at the end of December 2026?
19%
Open · $0 24h · $1,814 vol
Bid 18¢ · Ask 19¢
AlibabaWill Alibaba be the third-best AI lab at the end of December 2026?
5%
Open · $0 24h · $540 vol
Bid 2.3¢ · Ask 7.1¢
MoonshotWill Moonshot be the third-best AI lab at the end of December 2026?
8%
Open · $0 24h · $3,492 vol
Bid 5¢ · Ask 10¢
OpenAIWill OpenAI be the third-best AI lab at the end of December 2026?
3%
Open · $0 24h · $402 vol
Bid 0.3¢ · Ask 4.8¢
BaiduWill Baidu be the third-best AI lab at the end of December 2026?
1%
Open · $0 24h · $328 vol
Bid 0.1¢ · Ask 1¢
Z.aiWill Z.ai be the third-best AI lab at the end of December 2026?
3%
Open · $94 24h · $478 vol
Bid 0.2¢ · Ask 5¢
XiaomiWill Xiaomi be the third-best AI lab at the end of December 2026?
2%
Open · $0 24h · $432 vol
Bid 0.5¢ · Ask 3.7¢
SpaceXAIWill SpaceXAI be the third-best AI lab at the end of December 2026?
5%
Open · $0 24h · $407 vol
Bid 0.3¢ · Ask 9.2¢
DeepSeekWill DeepSeek be the third-best AI lab at the end of December 2026?
4%
Open · $0 24h · $387 vol
Bid 0.4¢ · Ask 6.9¢
AmazonWill Amazon be the third-best AI lab at the end of December 2026?
<1%
Open · $0 24h · $359 vol
Bid 0.1¢ · Ask 0.5¢
ByteDanceWill ByteDance be the third-best AI lab at the end of December 2026?
2%
Open · $0 24h · $378 vol
Bid 0.3¢ · Ask 4.4¢
NvidiaWill Nvidia be the third-best AI lab at the end of December 2026?
1%
Open · $0 24h · $359 vol
Bid 0.1¢ · Ask 0.9¢
ThinkyWill Thinky be the third-best AI lab at the end of December 2026?
3%
Open · $0 24h · $408 vol
Bid 0.1¢ · Ask 5.8¢
MiniMaxWill MiniMax be the third-best AI lab at the end of December 2026?
<1%
Open · $0 24h · $342 vol
Bid 0.1¢ · Ask 0.2¢
MistralWill Mistral be the third-best AI lab at the end of December 2026?
1%
Open · $0 24h · $236 vol
last
Ask 6.3¢
MeituanWill Meituan be the third-best AI lab at the end of December 2026?
1%
Open · $0 24h · $339 vol
Bid 0.1¢ · Ask 1¢
TencentWill Tencent be the third-best AI lab at the end of December 2026?
5%
Open · $0 24h · $354 vol
Bid 0.2¢ · Ask 9.6¢
StepFunWill StepFun be the third-best AI lab at the end of December 2026?
<1%
Open · $0 24h · $323 vol
Bid 0.1¢ · Ask 0.4¢
MicrosoftWill Microsoft be the third-best AI lab at the end of December 2026?
<1%
Open · $0 24h · $358 vol
Bid 0.1¢ · Ask 0.6¢
Company AWill Company A be the third-best AI lab at the end of December 2026?
No quote
Open · not taking orders · $0 24h · $0 vol
- Company B
Will Company B be the third-best AI lab at the end of December 2026?
No quote
Open · not taking orders · $0 24h · $0 vol
- Company C
Will Company C be the third-best AI lab at the end of December 2026?
No quote
Open · not taking orders · $0 24h · $0 vol
- Company D
Will Company D be the third-best AI lab at the end of December 2026?
No quote
Open · not taking orders · $0 24h · $0 vol
- Company E
Will Company E be the third-best AI lab at the end of December 2026?
No quote
Open · not taking orders · $0 24h · $0 vol
- Company F
Will Company F be the third-best AI lab at the end of December 2026?
No quote
Open · not taking orders · $0 24h · $0 vol
- Company G
Will Company G be the third-best AI lab at the end of December 2026?
No quote
Open · not taking orders · $0 24h · $0 vol
- Company H
Will Company H be the third-best AI lab at the end of December 2026?
No quote
Open · not taking orders · $0 24h · $0 vol
- Company I
Will Company I be the third-best AI lab at the end of December 2026?
No quote
Open · not taking orders · $0 24h · $0 vol
- Company J
Will Company J be the third-best AI lab at the end of December 2026?
No quote
Open · not taking orders · $0 24h · $0 vol
- Company K
Will Company K be the third-best AI lab at the end of December 2026?
No quote
Open · not taking orders · $0 24h · $0 vol
- Company L
Will Company L be the third-best AI lab at the end of December 2026?
No quote
Open · not taking orders · $0 24h · $0 vol
- Company M
Will Company M be the third-best AI lab at the end of December 2026?
No quote
Open · not taking orders · $0 24h · $0 vol
- Other
Will any other AI lab/company be the third-best AI lab at the end of December 2026?
No quote
Open · not taking orders · $0 24h · $0 vol
Event statistics
How this resolves
One winner.
- Scheduled end
- Dec 31, 2026 ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on December 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market. Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score. AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking. The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".