Selected outcome
Amazon
last
<1%
Amazon · <1%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Oct 31, 2026 ET
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
AnthropicWill Anthropic be the third-best AI lab at the end of October 2026?
2%
Open · $115 24h · $2,195 vol
Bid 1¢ · Ask 2.3¢
MetaWill Meta be the third-best AI lab at the end of October 2026?
91%
Open · $383 24h · $12k vol
Bid 90¢ · Ask 92¢
GoogleWill Google be the third-best AI lab at the end of October 2026?
2%
Open · $399 24h · $15k vol
Bid 1.3¢ · Ask 2.4¢
AlibabaWill Alibaba be the third-best AI lab at the end of October 2026?
5%
Open · $1 24h · $11k vol
Bid 4¢ · Ask 6¢
MoonshotWill Moonshot be the third-best AI lab at the end of October 2026?
1%
Open · $0 24h · $1,445 vol
Bid 0.1¢ · Ask 0.9¢
OpenAIWill OpenAI be the third-best AI lab at the end of October 2026?
1%
Open · $0 24h · $5,361 vol
Bid 0.4¢ · Ask 1.2¢
BaiduWill Baidu be the third-best AI lab at the end of October 2026?
2%
Open · $0 24h · $1,274 vol
Bid 0.3¢ · Ask 3¢
Z.aiWill Z.ai be the third-best AI lab at the end of October 2026?
<1%
Open · $1 24h · $1,212 vol
Bid 0.2¢ · Ask 0.3¢
XiaomiWill Xiaomi be the third-best AI lab at the end of October 2026?
1%
Open · $6 24h · $4,594 vol
Bid 0.4¢ · Ask 1¢
SpaceXAIWill SpaceXAI be the third-best AI lab at the end of October 2026?
1%
Open · $0 24h · $2,039 vol
Bid 0.2¢ · Ask 1.1¢
DeepSeekWill DeepSeek be the third-best AI lab at the end of October 2026?
<1%
Open · $0 24h · $1,041 vol
Bid 0.1¢ · Ask 0.4¢
AmazonWill Amazon be the third-best AI lab at the end of October 2026?
<1%
Open · $0 24h · $446 vol
last
Ask 0.1¢
ByteDanceWill ByteDance be the third-best AI lab at the end of October 2026?
<1%
Open · $1 24h · $1,206 vol
Bid 0.1¢ · Ask 0.3¢
NvidiaWill Nvidia be the third-best AI lab at the end of October 2026?
<1%
Open · $0 24h · $416 vol
last
Ask 0.1¢
ThinkyWill Thinky be the third-best AI lab at the end of October 2026?
<1%
Open · $0 24h · $869 vol
last
Ask 0.1¢
MiniMaxWill MiniMax be the third-best AI lab at the end of October 2026?
<1%
Open · $0 24h · $1,315 vol
last
Ask 0.1¢
MistralWill Mistral be the third-best AI lab at the end of October 2026?
<1%
Open · $0 24h · $1,278 vol
last
Ask 0.1¢
MeituanWill Meituan be the third-best AI lab at the end of October 2026?
<1%
Open · $0 24h · $897 vol
last
Ask 0.1¢
TencentWill Tencent be the third-best AI lab at the end of October 2026?
<1%
Open · $0 24h · $1,280 vol
Bid 0.1¢ · Ask 0.5¢
StepFunWill StepFun be the third-best AI lab at the end of October 2026?
<1%
Open · $0 24h · $730 vol
last
Ask 0.1¢
MicrosoftWill Microsoft be the third-best AI lab at the end of October 2026?
No quote
Open · $0 24h · $657 vol
Ask 0.1¢
Company AWill Company A be the third-best AI lab at the end of October 2026?
No quote
Open · not taking orders · $0 24h · $0 vol
- Company B
Will Company B be the third-best AI lab at the end of October 2026?
No quote
Open · not taking orders · $0 24h · $0 vol
- Company C
Will Company C be the third-best AI lab at the end of October 2026?
No quote
Open · not taking orders · $0 24h · $0 vol
- Company D
Will Company D be the third-best AI lab at the end of October 2026?
No quote
Open · not taking orders · $0 24h · $0 vol
- Company E
Will Company E be the third-best AI lab at the end of October 2026?
No quote
Open · not taking orders · $0 24h · $0 vol
- Company F
Will Company F be the third-best AI lab at the end of October 2026?
No quote
Open · not taking orders · $0 24h · $0 vol
- Company G
Will Company G be the third-best AI lab at the end of October 2026?
No quote
Open · not taking orders · $0 24h · $0 vol
- Company H
Will Company H be the third-best AI lab at the end of October 2026?
No quote
Open · not taking orders · $0 24h · $0 vol
- Company I
Will Company I be the third-best AI lab at the end of October 2026?
No quote
Open · not taking orders · $0 24h · $0 vol
- Company K
Will Company K be the third-best AI lab at the end of October 2026?
No quote
Open · not taking orders · $0 24h · $0 vol
- Other
Will any other AI lab/company be the third-best AI lab at the end of October 2026?
No quote
Open · not taking orders · $0 24h · $0 vol
Event statistics
How this resolves
One winner.
- Scheduled end
- Oct 31, 2026 ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market. Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score. AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking. The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".