Selected outcome
Company K
Company K
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Dec 31, 2026 ET
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
AlibabaWill Alibaba be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of December 2026?
19%
Open · $13 24h · $442 vol
Bid 18¢ · Ask 20¢
MoonshotWill Moonshot be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of December 2026?
33%
Open · $13 24h · $638 vol
Bid 32¢ · Ask 33¢
BaiduWill Baidu be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of December 2026?
5%
Open · $13 24h · $300 vol
Bid 2¢ · Ask 8¢
Z.aiWill Z.ai be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of December 2026?
10%
Open · $13 24h · $245 vol
Bid 8¢ · Ask 11¢
XiaomiWill Xiaomi be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of December 2026?
21%
Open · $13 24h · $404 vol
Bid 20¢ · Ask 21¢
DeepSeekWill DeepSeek be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of December 2026?
12%
Open · $13 24h · $222 vol
Bid 10.4¢ · Ask 12.9¢
ByteDanceWill ByteDance be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of December 2026?
1%
Open · $26 24h · $170 vol
Bid 0.3¢ · Ask 1.8¢
MiniMaxWill MiniMax be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of December 2026?
5%
Open · $13 24h · $306 vol
Bid 1.1¢ · Ask 9.1¢
MeituanWill Meituan be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of December 2026?
4%
Open · $13 24h · $427 vol
Bid 1¢ · Ask 6¢
TencentWill Tencent be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of December 2026?
5%
Open · $13 24h · $204 vol
Bid 1.3¢ · Ask 8.7¢
StepFunWill StepFun be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of December 2026?
3%
Open · $13 24h · $184 vol
Bid 0.3¢ · Ask 5.2¢
Company AWill Company A be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of December 2026?
No quote
Open · not taking orders · $0 24h · $0 vol
- Company B
Will Company B be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of December 2026?
No quote
Open · not taking orders · $0 24h · $0 vol
- Company C
Will Company C be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of December 2026?
No quote
Open · not taking orders · $0 24h · $0 vol
- Company D
Will Company D be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of December 2026?
No quote
Open · not taking orders · $0 24h · $0 vol
- Company E
Will Company E be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of December 2026?
No quote
Open · not taking orders · $0 24h · $0 vol
- Company F
Will Company F be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of December 2026?
No quote
Open · not taking orders · $0 24h · $0 vol
- Company G
Will Company G be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of December 2026?
No quote
Open · not taking orders · $0 24h · $0 vol
- Company H
Will Company H be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of December 2026?
No quote
Open · not taking orders · $0 24h · $0 vol
- Company I
Will Company I be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of December 2026?
No quote
Open · not taking orders · $0 24h · $0 vol
- Company J
Will Company J be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of December 2026?
No quote
Open · not taking orders · $0 24h · $0 vol
- Company K
Will Company K be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of December 2026?
No quote
Open · not taking orders · $0 24h · $0 vol
- Company L
Will Company L be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of December 2026?
No quote
Open · not taking orders · $0 24h · $0 vol
- Company M
Will Company M be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of December 2026?
No quote
Open · not taking orders · $0 24h · $0 vol
- Other
Will any other company be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of December 2026?
No quote
Open · not taking orders · $0 24h · $0 vol
Event statistics
How this resolves
One winner.
- Scheduled end
- Dec 31, 2026 ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked primarily Chinese company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on December 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Chinese Companies include but are not limited to Alibaba, Moonshot, Baidu, Z.ai, Xiaomi, DeepSeek, ByteDance, MiniMax, Meituan, Tencent, and StepFun. Companies not headquartered in China or not primarily owned or operating within the Chinese technology ecosystem are not considered primarily Chinese. Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market. Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score. Qualifying Chinese AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant qualifying Chinese AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Meituan” would be ranked ahead of “Xiaomi”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking. The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".