Selected outcome
Company M
Company M
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Nov 30, 2026 ET
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
AlibabaWill Alibaba be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of November 2026?
26%
Open · $0 24h · $2,941 vol
Bid 25¢ · Ask 27¢
MoonshotWill Moonshot be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of November 2026?
27%
Open · $0 24h · $1,876 vol
Bid 26¢ · Ask 27¢
BaiduWill Baidu be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of November 2026?
10%
Open · $0 24h · $305 vol
Bid 8¢ · Ask 11¢
Z.aiWill Z.ai be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of November 2026?
11%
Open · $21 24h · $3,023 vol
Bid 10¢ · Ask 12¢
XiaomiWill Xiaomi be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of November 2026?
11%
Open · $20 24h · $2,778 vol
Bid 8.1¢ · Ask 14.3¢
DeepSeekWill DeepSeek be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of November 2026?
6%
Open · $0 24h · $274 vol
Bid 2.2¢ · Ask 10.5¢
ByteDanceWill ByteDance be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of November 2026?
1%
Open · $0 24h · $213 vol
Bid 0.1¢ · Ask 1¢
MiniMaxWill MiniMax be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of November 2026?
4%
Open · $0 24h · $192 vol
wide spread 2–17%
Bid 2.1¢ · Ask 17.2¢
MeituanWill Meituan be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of November 2026?
1%
Open · $0 24h · $167 vol
Bid 0.3¢ · Ask 1.9¢
TencentWill Tencent be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of November 2026?
5%
Open · $0 24h · $410 vol
Bid 1.8¢ · Ask 7.8¢
StepFunWill StepFun be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of November 2026?
2%
Open · $0 24h · $161 vol
Bid 1.4¢ · Ask 2.8¢
OtherWill any other company be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of November 2026?
No quote
Open · not taking orders · $0 24h · $0 vol
- Company A
Will Company A be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of November 2026?
No quote
Open · not taking orders · $0 24h · $0 vol
- Company B
Will Company B be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of November 2026?
No quote
Open · not taking orders · $0 24h · $0 vol
- Company C
Will Company C be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of November 2026?
No quote
Open · not taking orders · $0 24h · $0 vol
- Company D
Will Company D be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of November 2026?
No quote
Open · not taking orders · $0 24h · $0 vol
- Company E
Will Company E be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of November 2026?
No quote
Open · not taking orders · $0 24h · $0 vol
- Company F
Will Company F be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of November 2026?
No quote
Open · not taking orders · $0 24h · $0 vol
- Company G
Will Company G be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of November 2026?
No quote
Open · not taking orders · $0 24h · $0 vol
- Company H
Will Company H be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of November 2026?
No quote
Open · not taking orders · $0 24h · $0 vol
- Company I
Will Company I be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of November 2026?
No quote
Open · not taking orders · $0 24h · $0 vol
- Company J
Will Company J be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of November 2026?
No quote
Open · not taking orders · $0 24h · $0 vol
- Company K
Will Company K be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of November 2026?
No quote
Open · not taking orders · $0 24h · $0 vol
- Company L
Will Company L be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of November 2026?
No quote
Open · not taking orders · $0 24h · $0 vol
- Company M
Will Company M be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of November 2026?
No quote
Open · not taking orders · $0 24h · $0 vol
Event statistics
How this resolves
One winner.
- Scheduled end
- Nov 30, 2026 ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked primarily Chinese company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on November 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Chinese Companies include but are not limited to Alibaba, Moonshot, Baidu, Z.ai, Xiaomi, DeepSeek, ByteDance, MiniMax, Meituan, Tencent, and StepFun. Companies not headquartered in China or not primarily owned or operating within the Chinese technology ecosystem are not considered primarily Chinese. Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market. Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score. Qualifying Chinese AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant qualifying Chinese AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Meituan” would be ranked ahead of “Xiaomi”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking. The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".