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Third-Best Chinese AI Company end of October?

Openone winner

Selected outcome

Company B

Company B

Stored quote · checking the venue

Scheduled end
Oct 31, 2026 ET

Price

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Markets

  • Alibaba

    Will Alibaba be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of October 2026?

    22%

    Open · $233 24h · $13k vol

    wide spread 7–32%

    Bid 6.5¢ · Ask 32.3¢

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  • Moonshot

    Will Moonshot be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of October 2026?

    48%

    Open · $742 24h · $12k vol

    Bid 43¢ · Ask 53¢

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  • Baidu

    Will Baidu be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of October 2026?

    1%

    Open · $0 24h · $2,936 vol

    Bid 1¢ · Ask 1.3¢

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  • Z.ai

    Will Z.ai be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of October 2026?

    11%

    Open · $0 24h · $7,684 vol

    Bid 8¢ · Ask 13¢

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  • Xiaomi

    Will Xiaomi be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of October 2026?

    5%

    Open · $0 24h · $1,579 vol

    Bid 4.2¢ · Ask 6.5¢

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  • DeepSeek

    Will DeepSeek be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of October 2026?

    4%

    Open · $0 24h · $843 vol

    Bid 3.1¢ · Ask 5¢

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  • ByteDance

    Will ByteDance be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of October 2026?

    1%

    Open · $0 24h · $766 vol

    Bid 0.5¢ · Ask 0.6¢

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  • MiniMax

    Will MiniMax be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of October 2026?

    6%

    Open · $297 24h · $1,746 vol

    Bid 4.1¢ · Ask 7.1¢

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  • Meituan

    Will Meituan be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of October 2026?

    <1%

    Open · $0 24h · $576 vol

    Bid 0.2¢ · Ask 0.7¢

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  • Tencent

    Will Tencent be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of October 2026?

    2%

    Open · $0 24h · $851 vol

    Bid 1.2¢ · Ask 3.6¢

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  • StepFun

    Will StepFun be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of October 2026?

    1%

    Open · $0 24h · $622 vol

    Bid 0.3¢ · Ask 1.1¢

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  • Other

    Will any other company be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of October 2026?

    No quote

    Open · not taking orders · $0 24h · $0 vol

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  • Company A

    Will Company A be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of October 2026?

    No quote

    Open · not taking orders · $0 24h · $0 vol

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  • Company B

    Will Company B be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of October 2026?

    No quote

    Open · not taking orders · $0 24h · $0 vol

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  • Company C

    Will Company C be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of October 2026?

    No quote

    Open · not taking orders · $0 24h · $0 vol

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  • Company D

    Will Company D be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of October 2026?

    No quote

    Open · not taking orders · $0 24h · $0 vol

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  • Company E

    Will Company E be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of October 2026?

    No quote

    Open · not taking orders · $0 24h · $0 vol

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  • Company F

    Will Company F be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of October 2026?

    No quote

    Open · not taking orders · $0 24h · $0 vol

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  • Company G

    Will Company G be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of October 2026?

    No quote

    Open · not taking orders · $0 24h · $0 vol

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  • Company H

    Will Company H be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of October 2026?

    No quote

    Open · not taking orders · $0 24h · $0 vol

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  • Company I

    Will Company I be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of October 2026?

    No quote

    Open · not taking orders · $0 24h · $0 vol

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  • Company J

    Will Company J be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of October 2026?

    No quote

    Open · not taking orders · $0 24h · $0 vol

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  • Company K

    Will Company K be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of October 2026?

    No quote

    Open · not taking orders · $0 24h · $0 vol

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  • Company L

    Will Company L be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of October 2026?

    No quote

    Open · not taking orders · $0 24h · $0 vol

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  • Company M

    Will Company M be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of October 2026?

    No quote

    Open · not taking orders · $0 24h · $0 vol

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Event statistics
24h vol
$1,271
Volume
$43k
Liquidity
$7,549
Open int.
—

How this resolves

One winner.

Scheduled end
Oct 31, 2026 ET
  1. Trading
  2. Closed
  3. In review
  4. Resolved
Rules text

This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked primarily Chinese company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Chinese Companies include but are not limited to Alibaba, Moonshot, Baidu, Z.ai, Xiaomi, DeepSeek, ByteDance, MiniMax, Meituan, Tencent, and StepFun. Companies not headquartered in China or not primarily owned or operating within the Chinese technology ecosystem are not considered primarily Chinese. Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market. Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score. Qualifying Chinese AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant qualifying Chinese AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Meituan” would be ranked ahead of “Xiaomi”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking. The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".

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