Selected outcome
Meta
18%
Meta · 18%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Dec 31, 2026 ET
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
AnthropicWill Anthropic be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of December 2026?
19%
Open · $0 24h · $4,267 vol
Bid 18¢ · Ask 20¢
GoogleWill Google be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of December 2026?
12%
Open · $1,005 24h · $7,145 vol
Bid 9¢ · Ask 14¢
SpaceXAIWill SpaceXAI be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of December 2026?
2%
Open · $0 24h · $380 vol
Bid 0.4¢ · Ask 2.9¢
AlibabaWill Alibaba be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of December 2026?
8%
Open · $0 24h · $2,526 vol
Bid 6¢ · Ask 10¢
OpenAIWill OpenAI be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of December 2026?
5%
Open · $0 24h · $656 vol
Bid 1¢ · Ask 8.3¢
BaiduWill Baidu be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of December 2026?
1%
Open · $0 24h · $320 vol
Bid 0.1¢ · Ask 1.3¢
Z.aiWill Z.ai be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of December 2026?
5%
Open · $0 24h · $1,071 vol
Bid 1¢ · Ask 8¢
XiaomiWill Xiaomi be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of December 2026?
<1%
Open · $0 24h · $370 vol
Bid 0.1¢ · Ask 0.3¢
MoonshotWill Moonshot be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of December 2026?
13%
Open · $0 24h · $600 vol
Bid 10¢ · Ask 15¢
MetaWill Meta be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of December 2026?
18%
Open · $0 24h · $2,044 vol
Bid 17¢ · Ask 19¢
NvidiaWill Nvidia be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of December 2026?
1%
Open · $0 24h · $188 vol
Bid 0.1¢ · Ask 0.9¢
DeepSeekWill DeepSeek be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of December 2026?
2%
Open · $0 24h · $914 vol
wide spread 1–13%
Bid 0.6¢ · Ask 12.5¢
MiniMaxWill MiniMax be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of December 2026?
<1%
Open · $0 24h · $259 vol
Bid 0.1¢ · Ask 0.5¢
MeituanWill Meituan be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of December 2026?
<1%
Open · $0 24h · $214 vol
Bid 0.1¢ · Ask 0.5¢
AmazonWill Amazon be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of December 2026?
1%
Open · $0 24h · $172 vol
Bid 0.1¢ · Ask 0.9¢
BytedanceWill Bytedance be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of December 2026?
2%
Open · $0 24h · $580 vol
Bid 0.5¢ · Ask 3.6¢
MistralWill Mistral be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of December 2026?
<1%
Open · $0 24h · $279 vol
Bid 0.1¢ · Ask 0.5¢
TencentWill Tencent be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of December 2026?
1%
Open · $0 24h · $408 vol
Bid 0.1¢ · Ask 0.9¢
StepFunWill StepFun be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of December 2026?
1%
Open · $0 24h · $205 vol
Bid 0.1¢ · Ask 0.9¢
MicrosoftWill Microsoft be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of December 2026?
1%
Open · $0 24h · $232 vol
Bid 0.1¢ · Ask 0.9¢
ThinkyWill Thinky be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of December 2026?
1%
Open · $0 24h · $240 vol
Bid 0.3¢ · Ask 2.6¢
Company AWill Company A be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of December 2026?
No quote
Open · not taking orders · $0 24h · $0 vol
Company BWill Company B be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of December 2026?
No quote
Open · not taking orders · $0 24h · $0 vol
Company CWill Company C be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of December 2026?
No quote
Open · not taking orders · $0 24h · $0 vol
Company DWill Company D be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of December 2026?
No quote
Open · not taking orders · $0 24h · $0 vol
Company EWill Company E be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of December 2026?
No quote
Open · not taking orders · $0 24h · $0 vol
Company FWill Company F be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of December 2026?
No quote
Open · not taking orders · $0 24h · $0 vol
Company GWill Company G be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of December 2026?
No quote
Open · not taking orders · $0 24h · $0 vol
Company HWill Company H be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of December 2026?
No quote
Open · not taking orders · $0 24h · $0 vol
Company IWill Company I be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of December 2026?
No quote
Open · not taking orders · $0 24h · $0 vol
Company JWill Company J be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of December 2026?
No quote
Open · not taking orders · $0 24h · $0 vol
Company KWill Company K be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of December 2026?
No quote
Open · not taking orders · $0 24h · $0 vol
Company LWill Company L be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of December 2026?
No quote
Open · not taking orders · $0 24h · $0 vol
Company MWill Company M be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of December 2026?
No quote
Open · not taking orders · $0 24h · $0 vol
OtherWill any other AI lab/company be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of December 2026?
No quote
Open · not taking orders · $0 24h · $0 vol
Event statistics
How this resolves
One winner.
- Scheduled end
- Dec 31, 2026 ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on December 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market. Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score. AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking. The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".