Selected outcome
Amazon
2%
Amazon · 2%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Oct 31, 2026 ET
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
AnthropicWill Anthropic be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of October 2026?
2%
Open · $0 24h · $2,545 vol
Bid 1¢ · Ask 2.7¢
GoogleWill Google be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of October 2026?
8%
Open · $242 24h · $14k vol
Bid 5¢ · Ask 10¢
SpaceXAIWill SpaceXAI be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of October 2026?
1%
Open · $80 24h · $2,397 vol
Bid 0.8¢ · Ask 1.8¢
AlibabaWill Alibaba be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of October 2026?
4%
Open · $50 24h · $13k vol
Bid 1.3¢ · Ask 6.4¢
OpenAIWill OpenAI be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of October 2026?
9%
Open · $55 24h · $6,774 vol
Bid 7¢ · Ask 10.6¢
BaiduWill Baidu be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of October 2026?
3%
Open · $1,321 24h · $2,651 vol
Bid 2¢ · Ask 4.4¢
Z.aiWill Z.ai be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of October 2026?
34%
Open · $2,733 24h · $9,656 vol
Bid 32.9¢ · Ask 35.7¢
XiaomiWill Xiaomi be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of October 2026?
5%
Open · $85 24h · $2,832 vol
Bid 1.1¢ · Ask 9¢
MoonshotWill Moonshot be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of October 2026?
3%
Open · $0 24h · $2,139 vol
Bid 1.3¢ · Ask 4.4¢
MetaWill Meta be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of October 2026?
22%
Open · $663 24h · $4,635 vol
wide spread 12–23%
Bid 12.3¢ · Ask 22.9¢
NvidiaWill Nvidia be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of October 2026?
1%
Open · $0 24h · $1,992 vol
Bid 0.3¢ · Ask 0.8¢
DeepSeekWill DeepSeek be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of October 2026?
1%
Open · $72 24h · $1,895 vol
Bid 1¢ · Ask 1.4¢
MiniMaxWill MiniMax be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of October 2026?
2%
Open · $0 24h · $1,847 vol
Bid 0.3¢ · Ask 3¢
MeituanWill Meituan be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of October 2026?
1%
Open · $0 24h · $2,325 vol
Bid 0.2¢ · Ask 1.5¢
AmazonWill Amazon be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of October 2026?
2%
Open · $57 24h · $1,363 vol
Bid 0.2¢ · Ask 3.2¢
BytedanceWill Bytedance be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of October 2026?
3%
Open · $841 24h · $2,646 vol
Bid 1¢ · Ask 5.7¢
MistralWill Mistral be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of October 2026?
1%
Open · $0 24h · $1,439 vol
last
Ask 1¢
TencentWill Tencent be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of October 2026?
1%
Open · $356 24h · $2,366 vol
Bid 0.3¢ · Ask 0.7¢
StepFunWill StepFun be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of October 2026?
1%
Open · $63 24h · $1,426 vol
Bid 0.2¢ · Ask 1.5¢
MicrosoftWill Microsoft be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of October 2026?
1%
Open · $634 24h · $2,503 vol
Bid 0.4¢ · Ask 1¢
OtherWill any other AI lab/company be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of October 2026?
No quote
Open · not taking orders · $0 24h · $0 vol
Company AWill Company A be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of October 2026?
No quote
Open · not taking orders · $0 24h · $0 vol
Company BWill Company B be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of October 2026?
No quote
Open · not taking orders · $0 24h · $0 vol
Company CWill Company C be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of October 2026?
No quote
Open · not taking orders · $0 24h · $0 vol
Company DWill Company D be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of October 2026?
No quote
Open · not taking orders · $0 24h · $0 vol
Company EWill Company E be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of October 2026?
No quote
Open · not taking orders · $0 24h · $0 vol
Company FWill Company F be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of October 2026?
No quote
Open · not taking orders · $0 24h · $0 vol
Company GWill Company G be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of October 2026?
No quote
Open · not taking orders · $0 24h · $0 vol
Company HWill Company H be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of October 2026?
No quote
Open · not taking orders · $0 24h · $0 vol
Company IWill Company I be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of October 2026?
No quote
Open · not taking orders · $0 24h · $0 vol
Company JWill Company J be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of October 2026?
No quote
Open · not taking orders · $0 24h · $0 vol
Company KWill Company K be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of October 2026?
No quote
Open · not taking orders · $0 24h · $0 vol
Company LWill Company L be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of October 2026?
No quote
Open · not taking orders · $0 24h · $0 vol
Company MWill Company M be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of October 2026?
No quote
Open · not taking orders · $0 24h · $0 vol
Event statistics
How this resolves
One winner.
- Scheduled end
- Oct 31, 2026 ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market. Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score. AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking. The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".