Selected outcome
37.5–37.9
9%
37.5–37.9 · 9%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Oct 23, 11:59 PM ET
- Resolution source
- realclearpolling.com (opens in a new tab)
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
<37.5Will Trump's approval rating be less than 37.5 on October 23, 2026?
3%
Open · $65 24h · $784 vol
Bid 1.4¢ · Ask 4.2¢
37.5–37.9Will Trump's approval rating be between 37.5 and 37.9 on October 23, 2026?
9%
Open · $175 24h · $1,612 vol
Bid 7¢ · Ask 10¢
38.0–38.4Will Trump's approval rating be between 38.0 and 38.4 on October 23, 2026?
40%
Open · $546 24h · $1,947 vol
Bid 38¢ · Ask 41¢
38.5–38.9Will Trump's approval rating be between 38.5 and 38.9 on October 23, 2026?
33%
Open · $476 24h · $1,656 vol
Bid 31¢ · Ask 35¢
39.0–39.4Will Trump's approval rating be between 39.0 and 39.4 on October 23, 2026?
16%
Open · $268 24h · $2,451 vol
Bid 14¢ · Ask 18¢
39.5+Will Trump's approval rating be at least 39.5 on October 23, 2026?
7%
Open · $87 24h · $966 vol
Bid 5¢ · Ask 8¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
One winner.
- Scheduled end
- Oct 23, 11:59 PM ET
- Resolution source
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
This market will resolve according to Donald Trump's approval rating as reported by RealClearPolling at 5:00 PM ET on October 23, 2026. This market's resolution source will be RealClearPolling's presidential job approval poll average, https://www.realclearpolling.com/polls/approval/donald-trump/approval-rating, specifically the value in the "Approve" column of the "RCP Average" row of the table titled "President Trump Job Approval" as displayed at 5:00 PM ET on the resolution date. Any updates or revisions to the RCP Average published after this time will not be considered, except for corrections of data integrity issues as described below. Changes in the methodology by which RealClearPolling calculates its average will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. In case of obvious data integrity issues (i.e., erroneous data), the market may remain open until the end of the third calendar day (ET) after the date on which such data is first released to allow for corrections. Data integrity issues refer only to clerical or other similar errors in the underlying data, and do not include cases where RealClearPolling differs from alternative sources. If the RCP Average is unavailable at 5:00 PM ET on the resolution date, this market may remain open until the end of the third calendar day (ET) after the resolution date. If the RCP Average has not been updated by then, the most recent RCP Average published prior to 5:00 PM ET on the resolution date will be used. The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.