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US bank failure by December 31, 2026?

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Selected outcome

US bank failure by December 31, 2026?

59%

US bank failure by December 31, 2026? · 59%

Stored quote · checking the venue

Scheduled end
Dec 31, 2026 ET

Price

US bank failure by December 31, 2026?

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Markets

Event statistics
24h vol
$1
Volume
$11k
Liquidity
$2,318
Open int.
—

How this resolves

Scheduled end
Dec 31, 2026 ET
  1. Trading
  2. Closed
  3. In review
  4. Resolved
Rules text

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any US bank fails between this market's creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET (according to the FDIC's "Failed Bank List"). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For this market to resolve to "Yes", the bank's closing date as listed by the FDIC must be within this market's above-specified timeframe. If there is a potential bank failure within this market's timeframe and the FDIC "Failed Bank List" has not been updated yet, this market may remain open to allow for the list to be updated. The primary resolution source for this market will be the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation (FDIC), specifically the "Failed Bank List" available here: https://www.fdic.gov/resources/resolutions/bank-failures/failed-bank-list/; however, other official statements from the FDIC and government entities will suffice.

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