Selected outcome
December 31
4%
December 31 · 4%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Dec 31, 2026 ET
Price
December 31
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Markets
December 31U.S. evacuates Beirut Embassy by December 31?
4%
Open · $0 24h · $27k vol
Bid 2.3¢ · Ask 4.8¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Dec 31, 2026 ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government announces a full evacuation of the U.S. Embassy in Beirut, Lebanon, or a full evacuation of the embassy is otherwise confirmed between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A full evacuation announced within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual evacuation subsequently takes place within the timeframe. Announcements of a partial evacuation, where some staff are intended to remain, will not count. The resolution source will be official statements from the U.S. government or a consensus of credible reporting confirming the evacuation of the embassy.