Selected outcome
U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by December 31?
3%
U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by December 31? · 3%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Dec 31, 2026 ET
Price
U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by December 31?
Loading price history.
Markets

Open · $0 24h · $180k vol
Bid 2.5¢ · Ask 2.6¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Dec 31, 2026 ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Trump administration announces that the United States officially recognizes Maria Corina Machado as the leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Roles that could qualify for leader of Venezuela status include, but are not limited to, "head of state," "president," or other similar roles that give her primary executive authority in the territory of Venezuela. A qualifying US statement must be direct and unqualified. Conditional, hypothetical, supportive, or implied statements do not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government and Donald Trump, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.