Selected outcome
US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine before 2027?
8%
US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine before 2027? · 8%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Dec 31, 2026 ET
Price
US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine before 2027?
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Markets

Open · $311 24h · $192k vol
Bid 4.2¢ · Ask 12.4¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Dec 31, 2026 ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States government officially recognizes Russian sovereignty over any portion of Ukrainian territory by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Donald Trump's March 25, 2019, recognition of Israel's sovereignty over the Golan Heights is an example of a qualifying action. Statement of intents, or announcements of planned recognition will not qualify. Ukrainian territory is defined as any portion of Ukraine as recognized by the UN at the start of the present conflict on February 24, 2022, including Crimea. The resolution source will be official U.S. government statements and credible reporting from major news organizations.