Selected outcome
December 31
84%
December 31 · 84%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Nov 15, 2026 ET
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
November 15Will the USS George Washington depart CENTCOM by November 15, 2026?
15%
Open · $838 24h · $6,127 vol
Bid 13¢ · Ask 17¢
November 30Will the USS George Washington depart CENTCOM by November 30, 2026?
47%
Open · $387 24h · $30k vol
Bid 44¢ · Ask 49¢
December 31Will the USS George Washington depart CENTCOM by December 31, 2026?
84%
Open · $20 24h · $8,863 vol
Bid 83¢ · Ask 85¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Nov 15, 2026 ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the USS George Washington (CVN-73) departs the U.S. Central Command (CENTCOM) area of responsibility by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The Washington will be considered to have departed the CENTCOM area of responsibility upon confirmation by the U.S. Navy, the U.S. Department of Defense, U.S. Central Command, or U.S. Indo-Pacific Command that the ship has departed the CENTCOM area of responsibility or entered the any other area of operations, or upon a consensus of credible reporting confirming that the ship has physically exited the CENTCOM area of responsibility. The departure must occur by the listed deadline. In the event of ambiguity as to whether the USS George Washington left the specified area by the specified time, this market will remain open until the earlier of: (i) confirmation that the USS George Washington left the specified area by the listed deadline, or (ii) the end of the seventh calendar day (ET) following the listed deadline. The market will resolve based on the totality of information available at that time. If there is material ambiguity as to whether the USS George Washington left the specified area by that time, this market will resolve to “No.” Port calls, temporary stops, crew liberty at an intermediate port, or other movements within the CENTCOM area of responsibility will not qualify. Announcements, orders, schedules, or reports that the ship will depart, is preparing to depart, or is awaiting relief will not qualify absent confirmation that the qualifying departure has occurred. A qualifying departure will count regardless of the ship's subsequent movements or tasking. The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the United States government and military, including the U.S. Navy, the Department of Defense, U.S. Central Command, and U.S. Indo-Pacific Command, and a consensus of credible reporting.