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USS Theodore Roosevelt arrives in CENTCOM by...?

Open

Selected outcome

November 7

27%

November 7 · 27%

Stored quote · checking the venue

Scheduled end
Oct 31, 2026 ET

Price

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Markets

  • November 15

    Will the USS Theodore Roosevelt arrive in CENTCOM by November 15, 2026?

    84%

    Open · $134 24h · $3,175 vol

    Bid 82¢ · Ask 86¢

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  • November 30

    Will the USS Theodore Roosevelt arrive in CENTCOM by November 30, 2026?

    97%

    Open · $52 24h · $2,509 vol

    Bid 95.5¢ · Ask 98.6¢

    Open full market view →
  • October 31

    Will the USS Theodore Roosevelt arrive in CENTCOM by October 31, 2026?

    5%

    Open · $0 24h · $8,910 vol

    Bid 3.9¢ · Ask 6.1¢

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  • November 7

    Will the USS Theodore Roosevelt arrive in CENTCOM by November 7, 2026?

    27%

    Open · $546 24h · $5,215 vol

    Bid 26¢ · Ask 28¢

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  • November 12

    Will the USS Theodore Roosevelt arrive in CENTCOM by November 12, 2026?

    66%

    Open · $14 24h · $947 vol

    Bid 61¢ · Ask 70¢

    Open full market view →
  • November 3

    Will the USS Theodore Roosevelt arrive in CENTCOM by November 3, 2026?

    9%

    Open · $0 24h · $1,297 vol

    Bid 7¢ · Ask 10¢

    Open full market view →
Event statistics
24h vol
$746
Volume
$22k
Liquidity
$87k
Open int.
—

How this resolves

Scheduled end
Oct 31, 2026 ET
  1. Trading
  2. Closed
  3. In review
  4. Resolved
Rules text

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the USS Theodore Roosevelt (CVN-71) enters the U.S. Central Command (CENTCOM) area of responsibility by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The Roosevelt will be considered to have entered the CENTCOM area of responsibility upon confirmation by the U.S. Navy, the U.S. Department of Defense, U.S. Central Command, or U.S. Indo-Pacific Command that the ship has entered the CENTCOM area of responsibility or the U.S. 5th Fleet area of operations, or upon a consensus of credible reporting confirming that the ship has physically entered the CENTCOM area of responsibility. The arrival must occur by the listed deadline. In the event of ambiguity as to whether the USS Theodore Roosevelt entered the specified area by the specified time, this market will remain open until the earlier of: (i) confirmation that the USS Theodore Roosevelt entered the specified area by the listed deadline, or (ii) the end of the seventh calendar day (ET) following the listed deadline. The market will resolve based on the totality of information available at that time. If there is material ambiguity as to whether the USS Theodore Roosevelt entered the specified area by that time, this market will resolve to “No.” Port calls, exercises, or other operations outside the CENTCOM area of responsibility, including in the U.S. Indo-Pacific Command area of responsibility, will not qualify. Announcements, orders, schedules, or reports that the ship will arrive, is en route, or is heading to the Middle East will not qualify absent confirmation that the qualifying arrival has occurred. A qualifying arrival will count regardless of the ship's subsequent movements or tasking. The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the United States government and military, including the U.S. Navy, the Department of Defense, U.S. Central Command, and U.S. Indo-Pacific Command, and a consensus of credible reporting.

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