Selected outcome
$2B
28%
$2B · 28%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Jan 1, 2028 ET
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
$800MVariational FDV above $800M one day after launch?
72%
Open · $2,079 24h · $512k vol
Bid 71¢ · Ask 73¢
- $2B
Variational FDV above $2B one day after launch?
28%
Open · $5,789 24h · $418k vol
Bid 26.7¢ · Ask 29.4¢
- $3B
Variational FDV above $3B one day after launch?
11%
Open · $2,162 24h · $144k vol
Bid 10.1¢ · Ask 11.7¢
- $4B
Variational FDV above $4B one day after launch?
5%
Open · $1,023 24h · $180k vol
Bid 4.7¢ · Ask 5.5¢
- $300M
Variational FDV above $300M one day after launch?
94%
Open · $382 24h · $274k vol
Bid 93.1¢ · Ask 95.3¢
- $200M
Variational FDV above $200M one day after launch?
96%
Open · $340 24h · $79k vol
Bid 93.9¢ · Ask 98.4¢
- $100M
Variational FDV above $100M one day after launch?
98%
Open · $24 24h · $83k vol
Bid 97.8¢ · Ask 98.7¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Jan 1, 2028 ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Variational's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Variational doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".