Selected outcome
Party F
Party F
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Nov 28, 2026 ET
Price
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Markets
LaborWill Labor win the second-most seats in the next Victorian state election?
68%
Open · $0 24h · $2,564 vol
Bid 64¢ · Ask 72¢
Liberal–NationalWill Liberal–National win the second-most seats in the next Victorian state election?
18%
Open · $0 24h · $928 vol
wide spread 16–27%
Bid 15.5¢ · Ask 27.2¢
GreensWill Greens win the second-most seats in the next Victorian state election?
1%
Open · $0 24h · $424 vol
Bid 0.2¢ · Ask 0.9¢
One NationWill One Nation win the second-most seats in the next Victorian state election?
17%
Open · $0 24h · $1,228 vol
wide spread 5–20%
Bid 5¢ · Ask 20.3¢
Party AWill Party A win the second-most seats in the next Victorian state election?
No quote
Open · not taking orders · $0 24h · $0 vol
- Party B
Will Party B win the second-most seats in the next Victorian state election?
No quote
Open · not taking orders · $0 24h · $0 vol
- Party C
Will Party C win the second-most seats in the next Victorian state election?
No quote
Open · not taking orders · $0 24h · $0 vol
- Party D
Will Party D win the second-most seats in the next Victorian state election?
No quote
Open · not taking orders · $0 24h · $0 vol
- Party E
Will Party E win the second-most seats in the next Victorian state election?
No quote
Open · not taking orders · $0 24h · $0 vol
- Party F
Will Party F win the second-most seats in the next Victorian state election?
No quote
Open · not taking orders · $0 24h · $0 vol
- Party G
Will Party G win the second-most seats in the next Victorian state election?
No quote
Open · not taking orders · $0 24h · $0 vol
- Party H
Will Party H win the second-most seats in the next Victorian state election?
No quote
Open · not taking orders · $0 24h · $0 vol
- Party I
Will Party I win the second-most seats in the next Victorian state election?
No quote
Open · not taking orders · $0 24h · $0 vol
- Party J
Will Party J win the second-most seats in the next Victorian state election?
No quote
Open · not taking orders · $0 24h · $0 vol
- Other
Will another party win the second-most seats in the next Victorian state election?
No quote
Open · not taking orders · $0 24h · $0 vol
Event statistics
How this resolves
One winner.
- Scheduled end
- Nov 28, 2026 ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
The 2026 Victorian state election is currently scheduled to be held on 28 November 2026 to elect members of the 61st Parliament of Victoria. This market will resolve to "Yes" according to which party or coalition wins the second-most seats in the Legislative Assembly (Victoria's lower house) as a result of the next Victorian state election. If the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". Liberal–National refers to the Liberal–National Coalition. Liberal–National will include all seats won by both the Liberal Party and the Nationals, regardless of their parliamentary coalition behaviour, and its first-preference vote total will include the votes received by both parties. Parties and coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid first-preference votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If they remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed names. This market will resolve to the party or coalition that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Victorian government, specifically the Victorian Electoral Commission (VEC) (https://www.vec.vic.gov.au/).