Selected outcome
Legalise Cannabis
last
<1%
Legalise Cannabis · <1%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Nov 28, 2026 ET
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
LaborWill Labor win the third-most seats in the next Victorian state election?
6%
Open · $0 24h · $6,898 vol
Bid 3.4¢ · Ask 8.6¢
Liberal–NationalWill Liberal–National win the third-most seats in the next Victorian state election?
<1%
Open · $0 24h · $2,097 vol
Bid 0.1¢ · Ask 0.5¢
GreensWill Greens win the third-most seats in the next Victorian state election?
21%
Open · $5 24h · $2,308 vol
Bid 19.6¢ · Ask 22.9¢
One NationWill One Nation win the third-most seats in the next Victorian state election?
57%
Open · $0 24h · $9,730 vol
Bid 55¢ · Ask 59¢
Legalise CannabisWill Legalise Cannabis win the third-most seats in the next Victorian state election?
<1%
Open · $0 24h · $1,662 vol
last
Ask 0.2¢
Animal JusticeWill Animal Justice win the third-most seats in the next Victorian state election?
<1%
Open · $0 24h · $1,328 vol
last
Ask 0.4¢
LibertarianWill Libertarian win the third-most seats in the next Victorian state election?
<1%
Open · $0 24h · $1,630 vol
Bid 0.1¢ · Ask 0.4¢
Shooters, Fishers, FarmersWill Shooters, Fishers, Farmers win the third-most seats in the next Victorian state election?
<1%
Open · $0 24h · $914 vol
Bid 0.1¢ · Ask 0.2¢
Party AWill Party A win the third-most seats in the next Victorian state election?
No quote
Open · not taking orders · $0 24h · $0 vol
- Party B
Will Party B win the third-most seats in the next Victorian state election?
No quote
Open · not taking orders · $0 24h · $0 vol
- Party C
Will Party C win the third-most seats in the next Victorian state election?
No quote
Open · not taking orders · $0 24h · $0 vol
- Party D
Will Party D win the third-most seats in the next Victorian state election?
No quote
Open · not taking orders · $0 24h · $0 vol
- Party E
Will Party E win the third-most seats in the next Victorian state election?
No quote
Open · not taking orders · $0 24h · $0 vol
- Party F
Will Party F win the third-most seats in the next Victorian state election?
No quote
Open · not taking orders · $0 24h · $0 vol
- Party G
Will Party G win the third-most seats in the next Victorian state election?
No quote
Open · not taking orders · $0 24h · $0 vol
- Party H
Will Party H win the third-most seats in the next Victorian state election?
No quote
Open · not taking orders · $0 24h · $0 vol
- Party I
Will Party I win the third-most seats in the next Victorian state election?
No quote
Open · not taking orders · $0 24h · $0 vol
- Party J
Will Party J win the third-most seats in the next Victorian state election?
No quote
Open · not taking orders · $0 24h · $0 vol
- Other
Will another party win the third-most seats in the next Victorian state election?
No quote
Open · not taking orders · $0 24h · $0 vol
Event statistics
How this resolves
One winner.
- Scheduled end
- Nov 28, 2026 ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
The 2026 Victorian state election is currently scheduled to be held on 28 November 2026 to elect members of the 61st Parliament of Victoria. This market will resolve to "Yes" according to which party or coalition wins the third-most seats in the Legislative Assembly (Victoria's lower house) as a result of the next Victorian state election. If the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". Liberal–National refers to the Liberal–National Coalition. Liberal–National will include all seats won by both the Liberal Party and the Nationals, regardless of their parliamentary coalition behaviour, and its first-preference vote total will include the votes received by both parties. Parties and coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid first-preference votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If they remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed names. This market will resolve to the party or coalition that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Victorian government, specifically the Victorian Electoral Commission (VEC) (https://www.vec.vic.gov.au/).