Selected outcome
↑ 4.5%
9%
↑ 4.5% · 9%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Dec 30, 2026 ET
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
↑ 5.0%Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 5.0% or higher before 2027?
2%
Open · $0 24h · $20k vol
Bid 1.7¢ · Ask 3.1¢
- ↑ 5.5%
Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 5.5% or higher before 2027?
2%
Open · $0 24h · $57k vol
Bid 1.4¢ · Ask 3¢
- ↑ 5.25%
Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 5.25% or higher before 2027?
2%
Open · $0 24h · $143k vol
Bid 1.6¢ · Ask 2.6¢
- ↑ 4.5%
Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.5% or higher before 2027?
9%
Open · $232 24h · $46k vol
Bid 7.8¢ · Ask 11¢
- ↑ 4.75%
Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.75% or higher before 2027?
5%
Open · $5 24h · $81k vol
Bid 3.2¢ · Ask 7.2¢
- ↑ 4.25%
Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.25% or higher before 2027?
78%
Open · $59 24h · $146k vol
Bid 77¢ · Ask 79.5¢
- ↓ 2.0%
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.0% or lower before 2027?
1%
Open · $7 24h · $23k vol
Bid 0.4¢ · Ask 1.9¢
- ↓ 1.0%
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 1.0% or lower before 2027?
2%
Open · $10 24h · $2,392 vol
Bid 1.3¢ · Ask 2.6¢
- ↓ 1.25%
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 1.25% or lower before 2027?
1%
Open · $0 24h · $5,186 vol
Bid 0.6¢ · Ask 2.3¢
- ↓ 1.5%
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 1.5% or lower before 2027?
2%
Open · $0 24h · $28k vol
Bid 1.6¢ · Ask 2.5¢
- ↓ 1.75%
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 1.75% or lower before 2027?
1%
Open · $0 24h · $13k vol
Bid 0.8¢ · Ask 1.6¢
- ↓ 0.75%
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 0.75% or lower before 2027?
2%
Open · $0 24h · $741 vol
Bid 2¢ · Ask 2.3¢
- ↓ 0.5%
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 0.5% or lower before 2027?
2%
Open · $0 24h · $108k vol
Bid 2.3¢ · Ask 2.5¢
- ↓ 0.25%
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 0.25% or lower before 2027?
2%
Open · $0 24h · $133k vol
Bid 1.6¢ · Ask 1.7¢
- ↓ 0%
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 0% or lower before 2027?
2%
Open · $0 24h · $21k vol
Bid 1.1¢ · Ask 3.3¢
- ↓ 2.25%
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.25% or lower before 2027?
2%
Open · $0 24h · $42k vol
Bid 1.4¢ · Ask 1.9¢
- ↓ 2.5%
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.5% or lower before 2027?
2%
Open · $15 24h · $226k vol
Bid 1.3¢ · Ask 2¢
- ↓ 2.75%
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.75% or lower before 2027?
2%
Open · $0 24h · $374k vol
Bid 1.9¢ · Ask 3¢
- ↓ 3.0%
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.0% or lower before 2027?
1%
Open · $0 24h · $323k vol
Bid 0.6¢ · Ask 2¢
- ↓ 3.25%
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.25% or lower before 2027?
2%
Open · $0 24h · $82k vol
Bid 0.7¢ · Ask 3.2¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Dec 30, 2026 ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the lower or the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal fund range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the lower or the upper bound of the target federal funds rate reaches the specified level at any point by December 31, 2026, 12:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” Emergency rate cuts and hikes outside the regularly scheduled meetings will be considered. The resolution source for this market is the official website of the Federal Reserve at: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm. This market may resolve as soon as the relevant data showing the reached level is published.